Caleb Williams — Week 6: 30 of 36 for 305 Yards
2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Monday, Oct 19
Williams completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards and a touchdown, with no interceptions, against the Falcons, in Chicago's 31-23 win in Atlanta.
When Caleb Williams's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.
The full read
Caleb Williams was accurate all day against the Falcons: 30 of 36, 305 yards, 1 touchdown, no interceptions and +10.1 expected points added (EPA) on 41 dropbacks. EPA is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position. His completion percentage over expected (CPOE), which measures completions against the difficulty of the throws, was +15.3.
The throws that built the lead came on third down. Tied 0-0 on the opening drive, third and 11 at the Atlanta 42, he hit Rome Odunze, who lateraled to Roschon Johnson for the first down, +3.0 EPA and +12.4 points of win probability. Later on that drive, on second and 13 at the 14, he threw short right to Colston Loveland for the touchdown, +2.8 EPA. On the next drive, third and 17 from his own 34, he found Odunze deep middle for 23 yards, +3.2 EPA, and Chicago scored again for 14-0.
He kept the ball short and let receivers run: 141 air yards on 305 passing yards. The blemishes were 4 sacks and an aborted snap in the first quarter that he recovered himself, -1.7 EPA. He ran 4 times for 3 yards.
Through Week 5 his baseline covers Weeks 1 and 2: 36 of 55, 407 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception, +22.0 EPA on 70 dropbacks and a +6.2 CPOE. His +0.25 per dropback sat just under that +0.31, while his CPOE more than doubled.
Follow Caleb Williams on Muffed, and every episode lands in your weekly email.
_Data via nflverse._
When Caleb Williams's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.
Keep going