Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton finished 2025 as the number 13 wide receiver in total PPR scoring — and the number 21 wide receiver in PPR per game. That gap tells you almost everything about his year. Sutton was the unquestioned number one target on a 14 and 3 Broncos team that earned the top seed in the AFC, and he played all 17 games. The durability is what got him into the top 15. But this was not a week-to-week alpha you could set your watch to — this was a volume profile that lived and died on whether Bo Nix found him in the end zone, and when the touchdowns didn't come, the ceiling came down with them.

Now let's dig into the numbers. Sutton caught 74 balls for 1,017 yards and 7 touchdowns on 124 targets — a 21 percent target share and a 34 percent share of his team's air yards. Genuine alpha workload. His total receiving expected points added came in at plus 45.6, so every time the ball went his way, it was a positive play for Denver more often than not. The catch is the offense around him. Bo Nix finished two points below expected completion percentage and ranked 21st among qualified starters in adjusted net yards per attempt — Sutton was the focal point of a passing game efficient on volume but not explosive per throw. And this was boom-or-bust, not a steady floor: he averaged 12.9 PPR per game, cleared 17 points in seven different weeks, and finished under 6 points in four others — including a 1.5 in Week 18 and a 1.6 in Week 2. Only 222 yards after the catch on the year means most of his production was the catch itself, not what came after. A yards-and-touchdowns receiver. When the touchdowns dried up, the floor caved in.

The play that captures the season came in Week 3 at the Chargers — fourth and 2 from the Los Angeles 52, 46 seconds left in the first half, Denver trailing 10 to nothing. Nix dropped back in shotgun and hit Sutton deep left for a 52-yard touchdown: 34 air yards, 18 after the catch, on a fourth-down conversion. That's the entire Sutton archetype in one snap — high air-yards target, downfield trust on a money down, finishes in the end zone. Six of his seven touchdowns traveled 11 air yards or more. When Denver pushed the ball downfield, Sutton was the guy. When they didn't, he was a 4-catch, 40-yard floor.