Courtland Sutton

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• Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

  Courtland Sutton Camp Update — August 23: Quiet Week While the Split Test Arrives

  No Sutton news surfaced this week, but the condition his season-long target question depends on finally did: Bo Nix returned, Jaylen Waddle debuted, and the first big third-down throw went to the new guy. Friday's finale, with starters into the third quarter, is the first real evidence.

• Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

  Courtland Sutton Camp Update — August 16: One-Handed and Otherwise Quiet

  Sutton played in Atlanta and made a one-handed sixteen-yard grab, and that was the whole week. With Jaylen Waddle sidelined, the target-split question at the center of his season stays unanswered.

• 2026 PreviewJun 15, 2026

  Courtland Sutton 2026 Season Preview — a WR11 finish at a WR36 price

  Sutton finished WR11 in half-PPR total points across all 17 games, averaging 10.7 half-PPR per game on a season built on sustained target volume rather than touchdown luck. His 95.3% availability rate from 2021–25 means the opportunity he sees tends to show up on the field, and volume-based production like his carries the kind of inputs that tend to repeat.

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  Show notes & transcript

  Courtland Sutton finished as the number 11 receiver in total points last season. He's the 30-sixth receiver off the board. That's a two-round discount on a proven alpha — the catch is the new receiver Denver just traded for. The Muffed 2026 preview.

  The 2025 season was a genuine WR1 line: 74 catches on a hundred 24 targets for a thousand 17 yards and seven touchdowns, 10-seven a game, WR18 per game and WR11 in total, all 17 games as Bo Nix's clear favorite target. The signature was a seven-catch, a hundred 13-yard, one-score afternoon against Green Bay in Week 15. A high-volume, every-week alpha.

  The arc is a late-career peak: a journeyman-ish middle stretch in the seven-to-12 range, then a career-best 12-five a game in 2024 and another strong 10-seven in 2025. He's a career-year-eight receiver playing the best ball of his life.

  What the data says: a hundred 24 targets is genuine alpha volume — the stickiest receiver stat — and his touchdown share, a clean 19 percent, has no luck to give back. By the numbers, this is a top-15 receiver priced like a flex.

  The situation, per the reports, is the entire reason for the discount: Denver sent a package headlined by its first-round pick — a first, a third and a fourth, with a fourth coming back — to Miami for Jaylen Waddle, who'll command targets. Sutton's on-record response: "I want to win games" — he doesn't care who's called the number one. The reporting still casts him as the X receiver in the offense, and the quarterback context matters this year: Bo Nix fractured his ankle in the divisional-round win in January, had surgery plus a cleanup procedure, and says he "could be full go right now," with Payton expecting him well ahead of camp. Even with a real target haircut, a hundred-24-target receiver who finished WR11 has a long way to fall before WR36 looks right.

  The price: pick 86, the 30-sixth receiver. Verdict: LEAN — underpriced. He finished WR11 in total on alpha volume with a clean touchdown rate, and he's priced WR36 entirely because of the Waddle addition. That's a real charge — Waddle will eat into the targets — but the market has over-corrected for it. The counter: if Waddle takes the number-one role outright, the discount is fair; but Sutton being the established X for a quarterback who already loves him is the more likely read.

  September watch: the target split with Waddle — the whole question, and Sutton's X role is your baseline; and Bo Nix's ankle and development, the tide that lifts both. Your whole roster gets this treatment every week — that's the show.

• 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

  Courtland Sutton 2025 Season in Review

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  Show notes & transcript

  Courtland Sutton finished 2025 as the number 13 wide receiver in total PPR scoring — and the number 21 wide receiver in PPR per game. That gap tells you almost everything about his year. Sutton was the unquestioned number one target on a 14 and 3 Broncos team that earned the top seed in the AFC, and he played all 17 games. The durability is what got him into the top 15. But this was not a week-to-week alpha you could set your watch to — this was a volume profile that lived and died on whether Bo Nix found him in the end zone, and when the touchdowns didn't come, the ceiling came down with them.

  Now let's dig into the numbers. Sutton caught 74 balls for 1,017 yards and 7 touchdowns on 124 targets — a 21 percent target share and a 34 percent share of his team's air yards. Genuine alpha workload. His total receiving expected points added came in at plus 45.6, so every time the ball went his way, it was a positive play for Denver more often than not. The catch is the offense around him. Bo Nix finished two points below expected completion percentage and ranked 21st among qualified starters in adjusted net yards per attempt — Sutton was the focal point of a passing game efficient on volume but not explosive per throw. And this was boom-or-bust, not a steady floor: he averaged 12.9 PPR per game, cleared 17 points in seven different weeks, and finished under 6 points in four others — including a 1.5 in Week 18 and a 1.6 in Week 2. Only 222 yards after the catch on the year means most of his production was the catch itself, not what came after. A yards-and-touchdowns receiver. When the touchdowns dried up, the floor caved in.

  The play that captures the season came in Week 3 at the Chargers — fourth and 2 from the Los Angeles 52, 46 seconds left in the first half, Denver trailing 10 to nothing. Nix dropped back in shotgun and hit Sutton deep left for a 52-yard touchdown: 34 air yards, 18 after the catch, on a fourth-down conversion. That's the entire Sutton archetype in one snap — high air-yards target, downfield trust on a money down, finishes in the end zone. Six of his seven touchdowns traveled 11 air yards or more. When Denver pushed the ball downfield, Sutton was the guy. When they didn't, he was a 4-catch, 40-yard floor.