Dak Prescott — Week 9: 335 Yards, No Interceptions

Dak Prescott matched his season high in passing yards against the Colts: 21 of 34 for 335 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions, sacked three times. Over 37 dropbacks he was worth +6.0 expected points added (EPA), what a play was worth given down, distance and field position, +0.16 per dropback.

The throw that won it came right after Spencer Shrader's 50-yard field goal put Indianapolis ahead 23-20. First and 10 at his own 35 with 1:37 left, he went deep right to Ryan Flournoy for 46 yards to the Indianapolis 19: +2.8 EPA and 28.7 points of win probability, the estimate of each side's chance to win, the largest swing of the game. Javonte Williams scored four snaps later. His two touchdowns came on fourth and 2 at the 10, short right to Jake Ferguson, +3.9 EPA, and deep right to CeeDee Lamb for 44 yards with 28 seconds left in the half.

The costly snap came up 3-0 in the first quarter. Third and 8 at his own 21, Laiatu Latu sacked him and forced a fumble that Caden Curry recovered and returned to the 19, -4.3 EPA and 13.8 points; the Colts scored six snaps later.

He was close to his season rate. Through Week 8 he was at +0.15 per dropback, +47.4 EPA on 316 dropbacks, with a completion percentage over expected (CPOE), how often he completed passes against what their difficulty predicted, of +0.2; here it was -0.8. It was his third straight game without an interception, and the 335 yards equaled his total at Houston in Week 4.

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_Data via nflverse._