Geno Smith — Week 6: 252 Yards, +5.9 EPA

2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Monday, Oct 19

Smith completed 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, with 3 sacks, against the Patriots in the Jets' 26-19 loss in New England.

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The full read

Geno Smith moved the ball on the Patriots and paid for a handful of snaps: 20 of 30, 252 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception, 3 sacks. He was worth +5.9 expected points added (EPA) on 33 dropbacks, +0.18 per dropback. EPA is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position.

His best throw came down 17-3 in the third quarter. First and 10 at the New England 48, 10:32 left: he went deep left to Omar Cooper for a 48-yard touchdown and 17-10, +4.4 EPA and +8.0 points of win probability.

The costliest came from the same spot in the fourth. Down 23-13 with 12:31 left, on the snap after a roughing penalty extended the drive, his deep pass to Kenyon Sadiq was intercepted by Charles Woods at the 24, -3.6 EPA and -7.1 points of win probability. In the second quarter, down 7-3, he was stopped for no gain on a fourth-and-1 run at the New England 39, -3.2 EPA. In the third, Elijah Ponder's 8-yard sack on third and 5 from the New England 10 held the Jets to a field goal. The Jets ran 8 red-zone plays and scored no touchdowns there.

He was more efficient than his baseline. Through Week 5 he had +6.4 EPA on 173 dropbacks, +0.04 per dropback, with 6 touchdown passes, no interceptions and 16 sacks. His completion percentage over expected (CPOE), how often he completed passes against what their difficulty predicted, was +3.5, against +4.4 through Week 5.

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_Data via nflverse._

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