Keon Coleman — Week 4: 116 Yards and the Go-Ahead Score
2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Tuesday, Oct 6
Coleman caught 6 of 7 targets for 116 yards and a 34-yard touchdown that put Buffalo ahead 26–21 with 4:33 left, with 80 of the yards in the fourth quarter and two third-down conversions, more yards than his first three games combined, in a 29–26 loss to the Patriots.
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The full read
21 to 20, Patriots, five oh six left in the game, third and four at the Buffalo 42. Josh Allen threw short left to Keon Coleman, and he carried it to the New England 34, 24 yards. +2.4 expected points added — expected points added is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position — and 14 points of win probability, the chance of winning the game after the play against before it. Buffalo went no huddle. On the next snap Allen threw deep middle, 34 yards in the air, and Coleman caught it in the end zone: +3.5 and 15 more points, Bills 26, Patriots 21. The two-point try went elsewhere and failed, and New England scored the last touchdown of the game two and a half minutes later.
The line: seven targets, six catches, a hundred 16 yards, one touchdown, five first downs, +8.9 expected points on the targets, and 90 air yards. The catches went 13, 22, one, 22, 24 34. The three in the fourth quarter were 80 yards. The first of them came on the opening drive of the quarter: third and seven at the New England 42, down four, deep left for 22 to the 20. 16 points of win probability, Buffalo's biggest positive swing of the game by that measure, and the drive ended in a field goal. The one incompletion was second and one at the New England two with a minute six left in the half, and Allen ran it in on the next snap. Another target, at the six earlier on that drive, was erased by a Buffalo penalty.
The split: Khalil Shakir had eight of Allen's 33 throws, Coleman seven, Josh Palmer four, and DJ Moore two.
Back in June the preview's read was that Coleman's volume had never reached the level that carries, and that DJ Moore's arrival put another receiver above him. Over the first three weeks he had nine targets, eight catches and a hundred one yards, no touchdowns. Sunday was the most targets of his four games, and the hundred 16 yards were more than those three games combined, on a day Moore was thrown to twice. Four games: 16 targets, 14 catches, 217 yards, one touchdown.
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_Data via nflverse._
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