Indianapolis Colts 2026 Strength of Schedule: Tied for 20th-Hardest in the NFL
The Indianapolis Colts are tied for the 20th-hardest schedule in the NFL for 2026: their 17 opponents average 8.38 projected wins, and 7 of them are projected winning teams, 4 of those projected for 10 wins or more.
Indianapolis Colts 2026 schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Opp Strength | Rest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens | 10+ win | 7 |
| 2 | Chiefs | 10+ win | 7 (+1) |
| 3 | Texans | Winning | 7 |
| 4 | Commanders | 7 | |
| 5 | Steelers | 7 | |
| 6 | Titans | 7 | |
| 7 | Vikings | 7 | |
| 8 | Jaguars | 7 | |
| 9 | Cowboys | Winning | 7 |
| 10 | Dolphins | 7 | |
| 11 | Texans | Winning | 4 |
| 12 | Giants | 10 (+3) | |
| 13 | Bye week | ||
| 14 | Eagles | 10+ win | 14 (+7) |
| 15 | Titans | 7 | |
| 16 | Bengals | 10+ win | 7 |
| 17 | Browns | 7 | |
| 18 | Jaguars | 7 | |
Toughest stretch
Weeks 1-3: Ravens, at Chiefs, Texans. Three straight projected winning teams, two of them projected for 10 wins or more.
Softest stretch
Weeks 10-12: Dolphins, at Texans, Giants. Even here one of the three is a projected winning team — the Colts never get a genuinely soft run.
Rest: where the Colts sit
Across the 2026 season the Colts are down 6 days of rest on their opponents across the seventeen games. 3 games come at a rest deficit of three days or more, and 2 come with a three-day edge the other way. Rest is zero-sum across the league — every day one team is rested is a day its opponent was not — so these net out to nothing across all 32 teams.
How this is measured
Opponent strength here is the betting market's 2026 win total, not last season's record — a forward projection that already prices in the draft, free agency and coaching changes, and that carries none of the luck baked into a won-lost record.
Read the spread before the rank. Across the whole league, hardest schedule to easiest covers about 1.5 win-total points spread over seventeen games — real, but small. Every win total in the market ends in a half-win and every schedule is seventeen games, so two schedules one place apart in the table differ by about 0.06 of a projected win, which is why 24 of the 32 teams share a rank with somebody else. Strength of schedule is a tiebreaker between two teams you already rate evenly. It is not a reason to move one of them.
Colts schedule questions
Do the Colts have a hard schedule in 2026?
By market win totals, it is close to average. The Colts are tied for the 20th-hardest schedule in the league — their 17 opponents average 8.38 projected wins, against a league average of 8.50 — and 7 of those opponents are projected winning teams.
When is the Colts bye week in 2026?
The Colts are on bye in week 13 of the 2026 regular season.
What is the toughest stretch of the Colts 2026 schedule?
Weeks 1 through 3, when the Colts play Ravens, at Chiefs, Texans — all three projected winning teams.
Where the Colts rank
Indianapolis Colts are tied for the 20th-hardest schedule of the 32. The Cardinals have the hardest at 9.32, the Lions the easiest at 7.79. All 32 schedules ranked.
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