2026 season

Indianapolis Colts 2026 Strength of Schedule: Tied for 20th-Hardest in the NFL

The Indianapolis Colts are tied for the 20th-hardest schedule in the NFL for 2026: their 17 opponents average 8.38 projected wins, and 7 of them are projected winning teams, 4 of those projected for 10 wins or more.

Indianapolis Colts 2026 schedule

Indianapolis Colts 2026 regular-season schedule with each opponent's projected strength and the rest days going into the game
WkOpponentOpp StrengthRest
1vs Ravens10+ win7
2at Chiefs10+ win7 (+1)
3vs TexansWinning7
4at Commandersneutral site7
5at Steelers7 (-3)
6vs Titans7
7at Vikings7 (-7)
8at Jaguars7 (-7)
9vs CowboysWinning7
10vs Dolphins7
11at TexansWinning4
12vs Giants10 (+3)
13Bye week
14at Eagles10+ win14 (+7)
15at Titans7
16vs Bengals10+ win7
17at Browns7
18vs Jaguars7

Opponent strength is the opponent's 2026 market win total, bucketed: “10+ win” is a win total of 10.5 or better, “Winning” is 9.5 or better. Rest is days since that team last played, with the edge over the opponent in brackets. The Colts are on bye in week 13.

Toughest stretch

Weeks 1-3: Ravens, at Chiefs, Texans. Three straight projected winning teams, two of them projected for 10 wins or more.

Softest stretch

Weeks 10-12: Dolphins, at Texans, Giants. Even here one of the three is a projected winning team — the Colts never get a genuinely soft run.

Rest: where the Colts sit

Across the 2026 season the Colts are down 6 days of rest on their opponents across the seventeen games. 3 games come at a rest deficit of three days or more, and 2 come with a three-day edge the other way. Rest is zero-sum across the league — every day one team is rested is a day its opponent was not — so these net out to nothing across all 32 teams.

A rest gap only turns up in the record when it is bye-sized. Across regular-season games since 1999, a team coming off at least seven more days of rest than its opponent has won 53.6 percent (645 games); at a three-to-six day edge the rested team has won 49.6 percent, which is no edge at all. Rest is a margin, not a mover.

How this is measured

Opponent strength here is the betting market's 2026 win total, not last season's record — a forward projection that already prices in the draft, free agency and coaching changes, and that carries none of the luck baked into a won-lost record.

Read the spread before the rank. Across the whole league, hardest schedule to easiest covers about 1.5 win-total points spread over seventeen games — real, but small. Every win total in the market ends in a half-win and every schedule is seventeen games, so two schedules one place apart in the table differ by about 0.06 of a projected win, which is why 24 of the 32 teams share a rank with somebody else. Strength of schedule is a tiebreaker between two teams you already rate evenly. It is not a reason to move one of them.

Colts schedule questions

Do the Colts have a hard schedule in 2026?

By market win totals, it is close to average. The Colts are tied for the 20th-hardest schedule in the league — their 17 opponents average 8.38 projected wins, against a league average of 8.50 — and 7 of those opponents are projected winning teams.

When is the Colts bye week in 2026?

The Colts are on bye in week 13 of the 2026 regular season.

What is the toughest stretch of the Colts 2026 schedule?

Weeks 1 through 3, when the Colts play Ravens, at Chiefs, Texans — all three projected winning teams.

Where the Colts rank

Indianapolis Colts are tied for the 20th-hardest schedule of the 32. The Cardinals have the hardest at 9.32, the Lions the easiest at 7.79. All 32 schedules ranked.

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Source: 2026 schedule and rest days via nflverse; opponent win totals via VegasInsider (BetMGM), August 24 2026. Updated Aug 25, 2026. How we verify our data.

Strength of schedule is the mean 2026 win total of a team's 17 opponents. Win totals are cited as a source, not republished as a dataset.

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