Detroit Lions 2026 Strength of Schedule: Easiest in the NFL
The Detroit Lions have the easiest schedule in the NFL for 2026: their 17 opponents average 7.79 projected wins, and 6 of them are projected winning teams, 1 of those projected for 10 wins or more.
Lions 26, Panthers 32 — Week 4: Fourteen Red-Zone Snaps, Two Scores
What is left, through Week 5
The opponents the Lions have left rate minus 0.021 net expected points added per play between them — offence minus what their defences allow — which is 25th hardest of the 32 schedules that can be rated so far.
Detroit Lions 2026 schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Opp Strength (Aug) | Kickoff ET | Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saints | Sun 1:00p | 7 | |
| 2 | Bills | 10+ win | Thu 8:15p | 4 |
| 3 | Jets | Sun 1:00p | 10 (+3) | |
| 4 | Panthers | Sun 8:20p | 7 | |
| 5 | Cardinals | Sun 4:25p | 7 | |
| 6 | Bye week | |||
| 7 | Packers | Winning | Sun 4:25p | 14 (+7) |
| 8 | Vikings | Sun 1:00p | 7 | |
| 9 | Dolphins | Sun 1:00p | 7 | |
| 10 | Patriots | Winning | Sun 9:30a | 7 |
| 11 | Buccaneers | Sun 1:00p | 7 | |
| 12 | Bears | Winning | Thu 1:00p | 4 |
| 13 | Falcons | Sun 1:00p | 10 (+3) | |
| 14 | Titans | Sun 1:00p | 7 | |
| 15 | Vikings | Sun 8:20p | 7 | |
| 16 | Giants | Mon 8:15p | 8 | |
| 17 | Bears | Winning | Sun 4:25p | 6 |
| 18 | Packers | Winning | Sun 1:00p | 7 (+1) |
Toughest stretch
Weeks 10-12: Patriots, Buccaneers, Bears. two of the three are projected winning teams.
Softest stretch
Weeks 3-5: Jets, at Panthers, at Cardinals. None of the three is a projected winning team.
Primetime: 2026 night games
The Lions play 4 games at or after 8:00pm Eastern, 1 at home and 3 on the road — weeks 2, 4, 15, 16. That is against a league average of 3.4, across 55 night games on the 2026 calendar.
Rest: where the Lions sit
Across the 2026 season the Lions are up 1 day of rest on their opponents across the seventeen games. 3 games come at a rest deficit of three days or more, and 3 come with a three-day edge the other way. Rest is zero-sum across the league — every day one team is rested is a day its opponent was not — so these net out to nothing across all 32 teams.
How this is measured
Opponent strength here is this season's net expected points added per play — a team's offence minus what its defence allows, through Week 5. The betting market stops quoting win totals once games are played, so the August line below is kept as a labelled prior rather than used as the ranking.
Read the spread before the rank. Across the whole league, hardest schedule to easiest covers about 1.5 win-total points spread over seventeen games — real, but small. Every win total in the market ends in a half-win and every schedule is seventeen games, so two schedules one place apart in the table differ by about 0.06 of a projected win, which is why 24 of the 32 teams share a rank with somebody else. Strength of schedule is a tiebreaker between two teams you already rate evenly. It is not a reason to move one of them.
Lions schedule questions
Do the Lions have a hard schedule in 2026?
By market win totals, no. The Lions have the easiest schedule in the league — their 17 opponents average 7.79 projected wins, against a league average of 8.50 — and 6 of those opponents are projected winning teams.
When is the Lions bye week in 2026?
The Lions are on bye in week 6 of the 2026 regular season.
What is the toughest stretch of the Lions 2026 schedule?
Weeks 10 through 12, when the Lions play Patriots, Buccaneers, Bears — two of the three projected winning teams.
How many primetime games do the Lions have in 2026?
Four as scheduled — one at home and three on the road — counting every kickoff at or after 8:00pm Eastern. Flex scheduling can move games into and out of the evening windows.
Where the Lions rank
That is the bottom of the league. At the other end, the Cardinals face the hardest at 9.32, a gap of 1.53 win-total points across the whole league. All 32 schedules ranked.
Follow the football you care about. Players, teams, stat boards — press Follow on any of them, and that is what your weekly email is made of. Nothing you didn't ask for.
Ask this data a question
Every figure on this page comes out of Muffed's verified panel — and you can query the whole thing in plain English. No account, no key. Ask the data →
Use Muffed in your AI
Ask Claude or ChatGPT football questions and get these verified figures back, with sources. Add https://muffed.ai/api/mcp — free, no account, no API key.