2026 season

Minnesota Vikings 2026 Strength of Schedule: 17th-Hardest in the NFL

The Minnesota Vikings have the 17th-hardest schedule in the NFL for 2026: their 17 opponents average 8.50 projected wins, and 9 of them are projected winning teams, 4 of those projected for 10 wins or more.

The latest Vikings episode

Vikings 15, Dolphins 10 — Week 4: Five Field Goals, Then Three Kneels

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What is left, through Week 5

The opponents the Vikings have left rate plus 0.017 net expected points added per play between them — offence minus what their defences allow — which is 9th hardest of the 32 schedules that can be rated so far.

Through Week 5 · Data via nflverse · 12 of 12 remaining opponents rated

Minnesota Vikings 2026 schedule

Minnesota Vikings 2026 regular-season schedule with each opponent's projected strength and the rest days going into the game
Wk	Opponent	Opp Strength (Aug)	Kickoff ET	Rest
1	vs Packers	Winning	Sun 4:25p	7
2	at Bears	Winning	Sun 1:00p	7
3	at Buccaneers	—	Sun 4:05p	7
4	vs Dolphins	—	Sun 4:05p	7
5	at Saints	—	Sun 1:00p	7 (+1)
6	Bye week
7	vs Colts	—	Sun 1:00p	14 (+7)
8	at Lions	10+ win	Sun 1:00p	7
9	vs Bills	10+ win	Mon 8:15p	8
10	at Packers	Winning	Sun 1:00p	6 (-1)
11	at 49ersneutral site	10+ win	Sun 8:20p	7
12	vs Falcons	—	Sun 1:00p	7 (-7)
13	vs Panthers	—	Sun 4:25p	7 (+1)
14	at Patriots	Winning	Thu 8:15p	4
15	vs Lions	10+ win	Sun 8:20p	10 (+3)
16	vs Commanders	—	Sun 1:00p	7
17	at Jets	—	Sun 1:00p	7
18	vs Bears	Winning	Sun 1:00p	7

Opponent strength is the opponent's 2026 market win total, bucketed: “10+ win” is a win total of 10.5 or better, “Winning” is 9.5 or better. Rest is days since that team last played, with the edge over the opponent in brackets. Kickoff times are Eastern and highlighted when the game starts at or after 8:00pm — the Vikings have 4 primetime games, 2 of them on the road. The Vikings are on bye in week 6.

Toughest stretch

Weeks 8-10: at Lions, Bills, at Packers. Three straight projected winning teams, two of them projected for 10 wins or more.

Softest stretch

Weeks 4-7: Dolphins, at Saints, Colts. None of the three is a projected winning team.

Primetime: 2026 night games

The Vikings play 4 games at or after 8:00pm Eastern, 2 at home and 2 on the road — weeks 9, 11, 14, 15. That is against a league average of 3.4, across 55 night games on the 2026 calendar.

Counts are AS SCHEDULED. Flex scheduling moves games into and out of the evening windows during the season, so an in-season count is only current as of the last time this artifact was regenerated.

Rest: where the Vikings sit

Across the 2026 season the Vikings are up 4 days of rest on their opponents across the seventeen games. 1 game comes at a rest deficit of three days or more, and 2 come with a three-day edge the other way. Rest is zero-sum across the league — every day one team is rested is a day its opponent was not — so these net out to nothing across all 32 teams.

A rest gap only turns up in the record when it is bye-sized. Across regular-season games since 1999, a team coming off at least seven more days of rest than its opponent has won 53.6 percent (645 games); at a three-to-six day edge the rested team has won 49.6 percent, which is no edge at all. Rest is a margin, not a mover.

How this is measured

Opponent strength here is this season's net expected points added per play — a team's offence minus what its defence allows, through Week 5. The betting market stops quoting win totals once games are played, so the August line below is kept as a labelled prior rather than used as the ranking.

Read the spread before the rank. Across the whole league, hardest schedule to easiest covers about 1.5 win-total points spread over seventeen games — real, but small. Every win total in the market ends in a half-win and every schedule is seventeen games, so two schedules one place apart in the table differ by about 0.06 of a projected win, which is why 24 of the 32 teams share a rank with somebody else. Strength of schedule is a tiebreaker between two teams you already rate evenly. It is not a reason to move one of them.

Vikings schedule questions

Do the Vikings have a hard schedule in 2026?

By market win totals, it is close to average. The Vikings have the 17th-hardest schedule in the league — their 17 opponents average 8.50 projected wins, against a league average of 8.50 — and 9 of those opponents are projected winning teams.

When is the Vikings bye week in 2026?

The Vikings are on bye in week 6 of the 2026 regular season.

What is the toughest stretch of the Vikings 2026 schedule?

Weeks 8 through 10, when the Vikings play at Lions, Bills, at Packers — all three projected winning teams.

How many primetime games do the Vikings have in 2026?

Four as scheduled — two at home and two on the road — counting every kickoff at or after 8:00pm Eastern. Flex scheduling can move games into and out of the evening windows.

Where the Vikings rank

Minnesota Vikings have the 17th-hardest schedule of the 32. The Cardinals have the hardest at 9.32, the Lions the easiest at 7.79. All 32 schedules ranked.

Minnesota Vikings podcast and season preview · Vikings running back depth chart · All 2026 bye weeks

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