2026 season

Chicago Bears 2026 Strength of Schedule: Tied for 12th-Hardest in the NFL

The Chicago Bears are tied for the 12th-hardest schedule in the NFL for 2026: their 17 opponents average 8.62 projected wins, and 8 of them are projected winning teams, 5 of those projected for 10 wins or more.

The latest Bears episode

Bears 23, Jets 12 — Week 4: Seven Third Downs, Seven Stops

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What is left, through Week 5

The opponents the Bears have left rate minus 0.007 net expected points added per play between them — offence minus what their defences allow — which is 21st hardest of the 32 schedules that can be rated so far.

Through Week 5 · Data via nflverse · 12 of 12 remaining opponents rated

Chicago Bears 2026 schedule

Chicago Bears 2026 regular-season schedule with each opponent's projected strength and the rest days going into the game
Wk	Opponent	Opp Strength (Aug)	Kickoff ET	Rest
1	at Panthers	—	Sun 1:00p	7
2	vs Vikings	—	Sun 1:00p	7
3	vs Eagles	10+ win	Mon 8:15p	8
4	vs Jets	—	Sun 1:00p	6 (-1)
5	at Packers	Winning	Sun 4:25p	7
6	at Falcons	—	Sun 1:00p	7
7	vs Patriots	Winning	Thu 8:15p	4
8	at Seahawks	10+ win	Mon 8:15p	11 (+3)
9	vs Buccaneers	—	Sun 8:20p	6 (-1)
10	Bye week
11	vs Saints	—	Sun 1:00p	14 (+7)
12	at Lions	10+ win	Thu 1:00p	4
13	vs Jaguars	—	Sun 1:00p	10 (+3)
14	at Dolphins	—	Sun 1:00p	7
15	at Bills	10+ win	Sat 8:20p	6
16	vs Packers	Winning	Fri 1:00p	6 (+1)
17	vs Lions	10+ win	Sun 4:25p	9 (+3)
18	at Vikings	—	Sun 1:00p	7

Opponent strength is the opponent's 2026 market win total, bucketed: “10+ win” is a win total of 10.5 or better, “Winning” is 9.5 or better. Rest is days since that team last played, with the edge over the opponent in brackets. Kickoff times are Eastern and highlighted when the game starts at or after 8:00pm — the Bears have 5 primetime games, 2 of them on the road. The Bears are on bye in week 10.

Toughest stretch

Weeks 15-17: at Bills, Packers, Lions. Three straight projected winning teams, two of them projected for 10 wins or more.

Softest stretch

Weeks 4-6: Jets, at Packers, at Falcons. Even here one of the three is a projected winning team — the Bears never get a genuinely soft run.

Primetime: 2026 night games

The Bears play 5 games at or after 8:00pm Eastern, 3 at home and 2 on the road — weeks 3, 7, 8, 9, 15. That is against a league average of 3.4, across 55 night games on the 2026 calendar.

Counts are AS SCHEDULED. Flex scheduling moves games into and out of the evening windows during the season, so an in-season count is only current as of the last time this artifact was regenerated.

Rest: where the Bears sit

Across the 2026 season the Bears are up 15 days of rest on their opponents across the seventeen games. 0 games come at a rest deficit of three days or more, and 4 come with a three-day edge the other way. Rest is zero-sum across the league — every day one team is rested is a day its opponent was not — so these net out to nothing across all 32 teams.

A rest gap only turns up in the record when it is bye-sized. Across regular-season games since 1999, a team coming off at least seven more days of rest than its opponent has won 53.6 percent (645 games); at a three-to-six day edge the rested team has won 49.6 percent, which is no edge at all. Rest is a margin, not a mover.

How this is measured

Opponent strength here is this season's net expected points added per play — a team's offence minus what its defence allows, through Week 5. The betting market stops quoting win totals once games are played, so the August line below is kept as a labelled prior rather than used as the ranking.

Read the spread before the rank. Across the whole league, hardest schedule to easiest covers about 1.5 win-total points spread over seventeen games — real, but small. Every win total in the market ends in a half-win and every schedule is seventeen games, so two schedules one place apart in the table differ by about 0.06 of a projected win, which is why 24 of the 32 teams share a rank with somebody else. Strength of schedule is a tiebreaker between two teams you already rate evenly. It is not a reason to move one of them.

Bears schedule questions

Do the Bears have a hard schedule in 2026?

By market win totals, it is close to average. The Bears are tied for the 12th-hardest schedule in the league — their 17 opponents average 8.62 projected wins, against a league average of 8.50 — and 8 of those opponents are projected winning teams.

When is the Bears bye week in 2026?

The Bears are on bye in week 10 of the 2026 regular season.

What is the toughest stretch of the Bears 2026 schedule?

Weeks 15 through 17, when the Bears play at Bills, Packers, Lions — all three projected winning teams.

How many primetime games do the Bears have in 2026?

Five as scheduled — three at home and two on the road — counting every kickoff at or after 8:00pm Eastern. Flex scheduling can move games into and out of the evening windows.

Where the Bears rank

Chicago Bears are tied for the 12th-hardest schedule of the 32. The Cardinals have the hardest at 9.32, the Lions the easiest at 7.79. All 32 schedules ranked.

Chicago Bears podcast and season preview · Bears running back depth chart · All 2026 bye weeks

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