Cleveland Browns pass rate over expected, 2026

From the Browns weekly

Twenty-four all, fifteen seconds left, fourth and eight at the Pittsburgh thirty-eight. Szmyt lined up from fifty-six yards and made it. By win probability, the model's read on each team's chance of winning at that moment, that kick was worth twenty-one point eight points, the biggest swing of the night. On the next snap, with ten seconds left, Aaron Rodgers threw deep right for Roman Wilson, and Delpit intercepted at the Cleveland eighteen. The Browns beat the Steelers twenty-seven to twenty-four on Thursday night in Cleveland, and they are three and one. They led twenty-one to ten after three quarters. Pittsburgh scored fourteen in the fourth, the last eight inside the final two minutes, and the Browns had a minute thirty-six to answer.