2026 season · Pass Rate Over Expected

Indianapolis Colts pass rate over expected, 2026

-3.5

23rd of 32 in the NFL

League median
-1.9
Sample
On 136 neutral-script plays through Week 5

Do the Colts pass more than expected?

The Colts have a pass rate over expected of -3.5 through Week 5, 23rd in the NFL — above zero means they throw more often than the game situation calls for.

Week by week

Season to date after each week — the pass rate over expected and rank as the board stood once that week was filed, not the single week’s own figure.

Indianapolis Colts pass rate over expected after each week of 2026
ThroughPROERank
Week 1-4.119th
Week 2-6.925th
Week 3-4.024th
Week 4-3.523rd
Week 5-3.523rd

Last season

Down from -0.7 in 2025, which ranked 14th of 32.

From the Colts weekly

Third and two at the Washington five, three twenty-nine left in the first half, Colts down six to nothing, with an extra lineman reported as eligible. Jonathan Taylor went around left end for the touchdown, and Spencer Shrader's extra point put Indianapolis ahead seven to six. It never trailed again. The Colts beat the Commanders thirty to thirteen, their second straight win, and they are two and two.

Read the Week 4 note →

Which teams pass the most over expected in 2026?

Cincinnati Bengals (+5.6), Carolina Panthers (+4.2), then Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.1) lead the league. All 32 teams on the Pass Rate Over Expected board.

More on this team: the Indianapolis Colts page.

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