2026 season · Pass Rate Over Expected

Los Angeles Chargers pass rate over expected, 2026

-8.9

29th of 32 in the NFL

League median
-1.9
Sample
On 136 neutral-script plays through Week 5

Do the Chargers pass more than expected?

The Chargers have a pass rate over expected of -8.9 through Week 5, 29th in the NFL — above zero means they throw more often than the game situation calls for.

Week by week

Season to date after each week — the pass rate over expected and rank as the board stood once that week was filed, not the single week’s own figure.

Los Angeles Chargers pass rate over expected after each week of 2026
ThroughPROERank
Week 1+0.312th
Week 2-10.131st
Week 3-7.128th
Week 4-8.929th
Week 5-8.929th

Last season

Down from +0.7 in 2025, which ranked 8th of 32.

From the Chargers weekly

One oh three left in the fourth quarter, the Chargers down thirty to twenty-three, first and ten at their own twenty-nine in the no-huddle. Seventy-one yards to go. Justin Herbert was sacked by Nwosu at the twenty, the ball came loose, and Hall recovered for Seattle. By expected points added, which measures what a snap was worth given the down, the distance and the field position against what that situation was already worth, it was minus four point four. It also cost seven points of win probability, the chance of winning the game after the play against before it, the largest swing on any snap from scrimmage in the game. Seattle knelt twice. The Chargers lost thirty to twenty-three in Seattle and are oh and four.

Read the Week 4 note →

Which teams pass the most over expected in 2026?

Cincinnati Bengals (+5.6), Carolina Panthers (+4.2), then Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.1) lead the league. All 32 teams on the Pass Rate Over Expected board.

More on this team: the Los Angeles Chargers page.

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