2026 season · Pass Rate Over Expected

Seattle Seahawks pass rate over expected, 2026

-3.6

24th of 32 in the NFL

League median
-1.9
Sample
On 114 neutral-script plays through Week 5

Do the Seahawks pass more than expected?

The Seahawks have a pass rate over expected of -3.6 through Week 5, 24th in the NFL — above zero means they throw more often than the game situation calls for.

Week by week

Season to date after each week — the pass rate over expected and rank as the board stood once that week was filed, not the single week’s own figure.

Seattle Seahawks pass rate over expected after each week of 2026
ThroughPROERank
Week 1-5.525th
Week 2-8.228th
Week 3-1.518th
Week 4-3.624th
Week 5-3.624th

Last season

Up from -6.1 in 2025, which ranked 30th of 32.

From the Seahawks weekly

One oh three left in the fourth quarter, Seattle up thirty to twenty-three, the Chargers in the no-huddle at their own twenty-nine after two quick gains. Nwosu got to Justin Herbert at the twenty for a nine-yard sack, the ball came out, and Hall recovered for Seattle. By expected points added, which measures what a snap was worth given the down, the distance and the field position against what that situation was already worth, it was minus four point four for the Chargers. It also took seven points of win probability, the chance of winning the game after the play against before it, the largest swing on any snap from scrimmage in the game. Sam Darnold knelt twice. Seattle won thirty to twenty-three at home and is three and one. The Chargers are oh and four.

Read the Week 4 note →

Which teams pass the most over expected in 2026?

Cincinnati Bengals (+5.6), Carolina Panthers (+4.2), then Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.1) lead the league. All 32 teams on the Pass Rate Over Expected board.

More on this team: the Seattle Seahawks page.

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