Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass rate over expected, 2026
0.0
11th of 32 in the NFL
- -1.0
- On 91 neutral-script plays through Week 3
Do the Buccaneers pass more than expected?
The Buccaneers have a pass rate over expected of 0.0 through Week 3, 11th in the NFL — above zero means they throw more often than the game situation calls for.
Week by week
| Through | PROE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | +2.6 | 8th |
| Week 2 | +0.7 | 11th |
| Week 3 | 0.0 | 11th |
Last season
Up from -2.8 in 2025, which ranked 18th of 32.
From the Buccaneers weekly
Third and fifteen at the Tampa Bay twenty-nine, four twenty-eight left in the third quarter, down seventeen to thirteen. Baker Mayfield hit Bucky Irving short right for fifteen yards and a first down, and a chop block brought it back: third and twenty-nine from the fifteen. Next snap, Mayfield went deep right to Chris Godwin for eighty-five yards and a touchdown that would have given Tampa Bay its first lead of the day. Holding, on Luke Goedeke. Third and thirty-six from the eight, a six-yard run, a punt. Tampa Bay lost to the Vikings twenty-three to sixteen at home, never led, and is oh and three. Its pass defense held Minnesota to the lowest success rate any defense has allowed in a game this season.
Read the Week 3 note →Which teams pass the most over expected in 2026?
Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.2), Dallas Cowboys (+5.1), then San Francisco 49ers (+4.8) lead the league. All 32 teams on the Pass Rate Over Expected board.
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