2026 season · Pass Rate Over Expected

Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass rate over expected, 2026

0.0

11th of 32 in the NFL

League median
-1.0
Sample
On 91 neutral-script plays through Week 3

Do the Buccaneers pass more than expected?

The Buccaneers have a pass rate over expected of 0.0 through Week 3, 11th in the NFL — above zero means they throw more often than the game situation calls for.

Week by week

Season to date after each week — the pass rate over expected and rank as the board stood once that week was filed, not the single week’s own figure.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass rate over expected after each week of 2026
ThroughPROERank
Week 1+2.68th
Week 2+0.711th
Week 30.011th

Last season

Up from -2.8 in 2025, which ranked 18th of 32.

From the Buccaneers weekly

Third and fifteen at the Tampa Bay twenty-nine, four twenty-eight left in the third quarter, down seventeen to thirteen. Baker Mayfield hit Bucky Irving short right for fifteen yards and a first down, and a chop block brought it back: third and twenty-nine from the fifteen. Next snap, Mayfield went deep right to Chris Godwin for eighty-five yards and a touchdown that would have given Tampa Bay its first lead of the day. Holding, on Luke Goedeke. Third and thirty-six from the eight, a six-yard run, a punt. Tampa Bay lost to the Vikings twenty-three to sixteen at home, never led, and is oh and three. Its pass defense held Minnesota to the lowest success rate any defense has allowed in a game this season.

Read the Week 3 note →

Which teams pass the most over expected in 2026?

Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.2), Dallas Cowboys (+5.1), then San Francisco 49ers (+4.8) lead the league. All 32 teams on the Pass Rate Over Expected board.

More on this team: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers page.

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