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Kenneth Walker III or Derrick Henry?

Kenneth Walker III or Derrick Henry? Both are RBs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 17, 2026.

Kenneth Walker III's edge sits in rushing yards over expected, rushing yards over expected per attempt and receiving expected points added — efficiency rather than opportunity, and the file measures that as the less repeatable half.

Derrick Henry leads on rushing attempts — the inputs that have historically carried from one season to the next.

Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.

Who led the NFL in rushing yards over expected in 2026?

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Derrick Henry

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Kenneth Walker III vs Derrick Henry, 2025

Verified 2025 figures for Kenneth Walker III and Derrick Henry, with each figure's rank in its source population
MetricKenneth Walker IIIDerrick Henry
Half-PPR/G24.624.1
RYOE141.21st of 4530.89th of 45
RYOE/att2.281st of 450.5212th of 45
Carries6566
Rec EPA1.412th of 441.313th of 44

A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown. Not shown, because neither player qualified: 2025 finish, Games, Snap share, Availability.

What repeats

Kenneth Walker III: VOLATILEDerrick Henry: REPEATABLE

Kenneth Walker III's edge sits in rushing yards over expected, rushing yards over expected per attempt and receiving expected points added — efficiency rather than opportunity, and the file measures that as the less repeatable half. Derrick Henry leads on rushing attempts — the inputs that have historically carried from one season to the next. Of the two, Derrick Henry's season rests on the steadier ground. That is a statement about what each man's production was built on, not a running order — and it is a description of 2025, not a forecast of 2026.

“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.

Settle it — hear both stories

The same verified data, told as the story of each man's season.

Kenneth Walker III's episode →Derrick Henry's episode →

Related

Kansas City Chiefs backfield depthBaltimore Ravens backfield depthWhat is Half-PPR?What is RYOE?What is EPA?All comparisons

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Cite this

Muffed, “Kenneth Walker III vs Derrick Henry, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/kenneth-walker-vs-derrick-henry. Through the 2026 season. Data via nflverse; NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse.

Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.

Source: Data via nflverse; NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse. Updated Aug 17, 2026. How we verify our data.

Scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 (nflverse), not a projection.

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