Derrick Henry
Ravens · RBPPR ADP #21
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Derrick Henry finished 2025 as the number 8 running back in total PPR scoring and the number 8 running back in PPR per game — which, depending on where you drafted him, was either exactly the return you wanted or a strangely volatile ride for a back posting these counting numbers. The headline is simple: Henry was a true workhorse on a Ravens offense that ran the ball better than anyone in football. He carried it 307 times for 1,595 yards and found the end zone 16 times — the second-most rushing scores in the league. The catch: Baltimore went 8 and 9, missed the playoffs, and Henry's weekly fantasy output reflected the bumpiness of that team's year more than you'd expect from a back averaging 5.2 a pop.
Now let's dig into the numbers, because they explain both the ceiling and the frustration. Volume was elite — 307 carries across 17 games, roughly 18 a week, behind a Baltimore rushing attack that finished first in the league in rushing expected points added at plus 42.2 and second in yards per carry at 5.3. Efficiency was the real story. Henry's rushing yards over expected came in at plus 340.1 on the year, plus 1.1 per attempt, third among qualified backs — yards the blocking and box counts didn't promise him, with eight or more defenders in the box on 39 percent of his carries. The passing game wasn't part of his profile: 15 catches on 21 targets for 150 yards, zero receiving touchdowns, a target share around 5 percent. And the consistency? Henry averaged 16.4 PPR per game, but the week-to-week ride was boom-or-bust — a 2.3-point dud against Cleveland in Week 2, single digits against the Chiefs and Texans, then 45.6 in Week 17 against Green Bay on 36 carries for 216 yards and four scores. He cleared 20 PPR in five games and was held under 12 in seven. A boom-or-bust shape hiding inside workhorse usage — driven almost entirely by whether Baltimore was playing from ahead or chasing a blowout.
The play that captures the season comes from that Week 17 explosion in Green Bay. Fourth quarter, two minutes left, Ravens up 34 to 24, first and ten at the Packers' 25. Henry took it left end and walked in untouched — 25-yard touchdown, the exclamation point on a 216-yard, four-score afternoon. That's the version that justified the draft cost: late-game, defense gassed, one-cut and gone. The problem was that version showed up about a third of the time. The rest of the season, you were riding the variance of a run-first offense that couldn't stay in enough games to keep feeding him.
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