Bijan Robinson — Week 4: 59 Yards on the Third Snap

2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Wednesday, Oct 7

Robinson ran 19 times for 145 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Saints, opening with a 59-yard touchdown on Atlanta's third snap, in a 45-24 win in New Orleans.

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The full read

Bijan Robinson smashed the Saints for a second straight week: 19 carries, 145 yards, 2 touchdowns, and +6.4 expected points added (EPA) on the ground. EPA is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position.

The defining run came on Atlanta's third snap. Second and 1 at the Falcons 41, no score, 13:43 left in the first quarter: Robinson went around left end for 59 yards and the touchdown. That was +4.7 EPA and +14.8 points of win probability, the largest swing of the night on either side. He finished the first quarter with a 4-yard touchdown run, 14-0, on a drive that started at the New Orleans 22 after a fumble recovery.

Take away the 59 and he still had 86 yards on 18 carries. He caught 1 of 2 targets for 2 yards.

Against his own season the jump is real. Weeks 1 through 3 he was worth +0.07 EPA per carry; Monday was +0.34. After 83 and 72 yards in the first two games, he has 194 and 145 in the last two. Four games: 85 carries, 494 yards, 4 touchdowns.

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