Brian Robinson — Week 3: Ten Carries and a Third-and-One Score
2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Saturday, Sep 26
Robinson carried 10 times for 50 yards and his first touchdown of the season, a 7-yard run on third and one from the Green Bay 7 with 3:41 left in the third quarter that made it 24–7. He had no targets and opened the game with a 24-yard kickoff return. Bijan Robinson carried 29 times on a night Atlanta ran 39, in a 35–14 win over the Packers.
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17 to seven, Falcons, three 41 left in the third quarter, third and one at the Green Bay seven. Brian Robinson went off left guard and did not stop until the end zone, seven yards and the touchdown. +2.0 expected points added — expected points added is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position — and 3.4 points of win probability, the chance of winning the game after the play against before it. It was the first touchdown of his season, and it put Atlanta up 17 with three 41 left in the third. The drive had been kept alive three snaps earlier by Drake London's 16-yard catch on third and seven.
The line: 10 carries, 50 yards, one touchdown, four first downs, six of the 10 successful, +3.3 expected points on the carries; no targets. The carries went six, nine, 16, −3, nothing, eight, seven, seven, −2, two. Five before halftime for 28 yards, five after for 22. The 16 was first and 10 at the Atlanta 39 with 12 43 left in the half, tied at seven, around left end to the Green Bay 45. His one third-down carry was the touchdown. The −2 was second and 21 from the Green Bay 27 in the fourth, on the drive that ended in a field goal. He also took the opening kickoff from the Atlanta six to the 30, 24 yards.
The split: 39 Falcons designed runs, 29 for Bijan Robinson and 10 for Brian. In Week 1 it was 21 to nine, in Week 2 16 to 11. Two of Brian's carries came in the fourth quarter against eight for Bijan, a reversal of Week 2, when Brian had all five running-back carries in the fourth and Bijan none. His one catch, seven yards on second and 11 in the fourth, came back on a holding call, so the sheet shows no targets. His carries came out at +3.3 expected points against Bijan's +8.7 on nearly three times the carries.
Back in June the preview's read on Robinson was a roster presence more than a role — 60-first among running backs across 17 games last season in San Francisco, signed to be Bijan Robinson's complement. Week 1 was nine carries and no targets. Week 2 was 11 carries and two catches, most of it after Atlanta was down big. Thursday was 10 carries in a game Atlanta led from late in the second quarter on, so the volume held at about 10 whether the Falcons were down 24 or up 17, and the first score of his season came on the one third-down snap he was handed. Three games say about 10 carries a week; the goal-line work still went to Bijan, who had five carries at or inside the five to Brian's none. Atlanta is at the Saints on Monday the fifth.
_Data via nflverse._
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