Courtland Sutton — Week 2: Four Targets, Another Interception

2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Monday, Sep 21

Sutton caught 3 of 4 targets for 25 yards and one first down; the fourth, on third and 8 at the Jacksonville 8 with 2:15 left in the half, was intercepted in the end zone by Jourdan Lewis and cost 14.6 points of win probability. He also drew the 22-yard pass-interference flag that set up the go-ahead touchdown, in a 20–13 win over the Jaguars.

0:002:13

Your episode · 2:13

When Courtland Sutton's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.

One email a week, in season. Free, unsubscribe anytime.

The full episode, in writing

Seven to three, Jaguars, two 15 left in the second quarter, third and eight at the Jacksonville eight. Bo Nix threw to the left side of the end zone for Courtland Sutton, and Jourdan Lewis intercepted it for a touchback. −4.3 expected points added — expected points added is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position — and −14.6 points of win probability, the chance of winning the game after the play against before it. It was Denver's worst play of the day by both measures, and it ended a drive that had covered 76 yards.

The line: four targets, three catches, 25 yards, one first down, −2.5 expected points on the targets, 31 air yards. The catches were eight on first and 15 in the second quarter, 10 on first and 15 in the third, and seven on second and six with nine oh eight left in the fourth, tied at 13, Travis Hunter on the tackle, for his one first down. The play that mattered most is not in the line. Three snaps after that catch, second and 10 at the Jacksonville 28, Nix went deep right for Sutton, incomplete, and Hunter was flagged for pass interference: 22 yards, first and goal at the three after a second penalty, and Jonah Coleman scored on the next snap. Two targets before halftime, two after.

Four targets was second on the team, a long way behind Jaylen Waddle's 10. Waddle had a hundred 38 of Denver's 288 passing yards; Sutton had 25.

Back in June the preview leaned underpriced on Sutton — the 30-sixth receiver off the board after finishing eleventh at the position on a hundred 24 targets — and named the target split with Waddle as the thing to watch. Week 1 the split went his way, five targets to three, for 11 yards, and the first throw to him was intercepted. Sunday the split reversed, 10 to four. Two games: nine targets, five catches, 36 yards, and two interceptions on throws intended for him. The passing game found its yards this week, and they went through the other receiver. Two games do not retire a hundred-24-target role, but the direction of the split is the opposite of what the preview was counting on. Denver is home to the Rams on Sunday night the 20-seventh.

_Data via nflverse._

When Courtland Sutton's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.

One email a week, in season. Free, unsubscribe anytime.

Keep going

More like this