Dak Prescott — Week 5: 316 Yards, Two Interceptions
2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Friday, Oct 9
Prescott completed 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards and a touchdown against the Buccaneers, but threw 2 interceptions inside the Tampa Bay 30, the last with 1:22 left, in a 24-16 loss in Dallas.
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Dak Prescott moved the ball against the Buccaneers and gave it back twice: 24 of 42, 316 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions, no sacks. He was worth -2.3 expected points added (EPA) on 42 dropbacks, -0.06 per dropback. EPA is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position.
The defining throw was his last. Down 24-16 with 1:22 left, Dallas had driven from its own 24 to the Tampa Bay 24 and faced second and 1. Prescott threw short over the middle for Jake Ferguson, and Anzalone intercepted at the 12. That was -4.4 EPA and -16.5 points of win probability, the biggest swing of the game. The first interception came early in the third quarter, down 14-10: third and 3 at the Tampa Bay 27, intended for Ryan Flournoy, picked off by Diaby for -4.8 EPA.
His best work came between them. Down 24-10 with 8:32 left and the ball at his own 1, he went 6 of 8 on a drive that ended with an 18-yard touchdown to George Pickens. The two-point try failed.
It was his first game below zero this season. Weeks 1 through 4 brought +43.1 EPA on 167 dropbacks, +0.26 per dropback, and 1 interception. His completion percentage over expected (CPOE), how often he completed passes against what their difficulty predicted, was -10.0, after +5.4 across those four games. Five games: 129 of 192, 1,381 yards, 9 touchdowns, 3 interceptions.
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_Data via nflverse._
When Dak Prescott's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.
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