Denver Broncos pass rate over expected, 2026
-2.4
19th of 32 in the NFL
- -1.9
- On 118 neutral-script plays through Week 5
Do the Broncos pass more than expected?
The Broncos have a pass rate over expected of -2.4 through Week 5, 19th in the NFL — above zero means they throw more often than the game situation calls for.
Week by week
| Through | PROE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | +1.7 | 10th |
| Week 2 | +0.3 | 13th |
| Week 3 | -1.2 | 17th |
| Week 4 | -2.4 | 19th |
| Week 5 | -2.4 | 19th |
Last season
Down from +2.1 in 2025, which ranked 6th of 32.
From the Broncos weekly
Three to three at halftime in San Francisco, and Denver's defense had the better of the half. Singleton stopped Brock Purdy's fourth-and-one sneak at the Denver thirty-four on the first snap of the second quarter, and Allen blocked a fifty-four-yard field goal as the half ran out. Then, tied with nine fifty-two left in the third, Marvin Mims fielded a sixty-one-yard 49ers punt at the Denver twenty-eight, got one yard, and Neal forced the fumble and recovered it for San Francisco. The 49ers scored nine snaps later, and the Broncos lost twenty-four to fourteen to fall to two and two. Neither offense turned it over, and neither quarterback was sacked.
Read the Week 4 note →Which teams pass the most over expected in 2026?
Cincinnati Bengals (+5.6), Carolina Panthers (+4.2), then Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.1) lead the league. All 32 teams on the Pass Rate Over Expected board.
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