Josh Allen — Week 9: 21 of 31 in a 23-6 Win

Josh Allen moved the chains against the Vikings and got little value from it: 21 of 31 for 234 yards, a touchdown and an interception, sacked four times, in a 23-6 win. Over 35 dropbacks he was worth -0.1 expected points added (EPA), what a play was worth given down, distance and field position, about zero a dropback against +0.22 through Week 8. The four sacks, tied for his most this season, cost -6.4 between them.

The touchdown came tied 3-3 with 53 seconds left in the half: first and 10 at the Minnesota 25, he went deep right to tight end Keleki Latu, +3.2 EPA, Latu's first catch of the season. Up 10-6 in the third, third and 8 at his own 25, he hit Ty Johnson deep left for 36 yards, +3.8 EPA and 13.3 points of win probability, the estimate of each side's chance to win. In the fourth quarter he converted fourth and 1 at the Minnesota 38 on a sneak that replay ruled a first down, and James Cook finished that drive.

The cost came scoreless in the first quarter. An intentional grounding turned first and 10 at the Minnesota 23 into second and 23, and on third and 23 his deep throw for DJ Moore was intercepted in the end zone by Byron Murphy, who returned it 54 yards, -4.7 EPA.

His completion percentage over expected (CPOE), how often he completed passes against what their difficulty predicted, was +3.9, in line with +4.0 through Week 8. He ran 6 times for 15 yards.

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_Data via nflverse._