Justice Hill — Week 5: 47-Yard Run on Third and 1
2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Monday, Oct 12
Hill ran 4 times for 73 yards against the Falcons, including a 47-yarder that set up a third-quarter touchdown, in a 30-23 overtime win in Atlanta.
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Justice Hill did a lot with four carries against the Falcons: 73 yards and +4.1 expected points added (EPA) on the ground. EPA is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position.
The defining run came down 17-9 midway through the third quarter. Third and 1 at the Baltimore 35, he went up the middle for 47 yards before he was pushed out at the Atlanta 18: +3.7 EPA and +8.0 points of win probability. Two plays later Derrick Henry caught the touchdown. On the opening drive he had converted third and 3 with a 21-yard run, +2.6 EPA.
The receiving side went the other way: 2 catches on 4 targets for 5 yards, -2.7 EPA. His 73 rushing yards topped the 60 he gained on 14 carries across Weeks 1 through 4, when he was at -0.1 EPA.
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_Data via nflverse._
When Justice Hill's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.
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