Rhamondre Stevenson — Week 2: Six Carries and a Lost Fumble

2026 NFL Season · Half-PPR Scoring · Monday, Sep 21

Stevenson lost a fumble after a three-yard catch at the Pittsburgh 31 on New England's fourth snap, the largest win-probability swing of the game, and finished with six carries for 43 yards, 33 of them on back-to-back runs of 24 and nine in the third quarter. TreVeyon Henderson, active for the first time, had 16 carries, in a 20–3 win over the Steelers.

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Nothing to nothing, 11 32 left in the first quarter, first and 10 at the Pittsburgh 34, New England's fourth offensive snap. Drake Maye threw short left to Rhamondre Stevenson, who gained three before Nick Herbig knocked the ball out, and Payton Wilson recovered for Pittsburgh at the 31. −4.2 expected points added — expected points added is what a play was worth given down, distance and field position — and −11.6 points of win probability, the chance of winning the game after the play against before it, the largest swing on any play by either team all day. A taunting flag on Pittsburgh after the recovery backed the Steelers up to their own 16, and they went three and out.

The line: six carries, 43 yards, three first downs, three of the six successful, +1.8 expected points on the carries; two targets, one catch, three yards, the lost fumble, and −5.0 on the two. The carries went five, two, 24, nine, one, two. After the fumble he had one carry the rest of the half: third and one at the Pittsburgh 44 with three oh three left in the first quarter, left tackle for two, converted. Then the third quarter: first and 10 at the New England 40 with six 39 left, up the middle for 24, New England's second-longest run of the day, and on the next snap nine more to the Pittsburgh 27. 33 yards on consecutive carries. The drive stalled without him touching it again — TreVeyon Henderson for no gain on second and one, a pass that lost two on third and one, and a missed 47-yard field goal. His last two carries, for one and two, came in the final five minutes of a 17-point game. Two carries before halftime for seven yards, four after for 36.

New England's 24 designed runs went 16 to Henderson, six to Stevenson and two to Corey Kiner. In Week 1, with Henderson inactive, Stevenson had 18 of 25. His targets went from six to two; Henderson had none.

Back in June the preview's call on Stevenson was that the price was too high: a 20-fifth-place finish fueled by touchdowns, an aging profile, a younger back who was better per touch, and the carry split named as the whole bet. The Week 1 episode, with Henderson out, said to hold that read and watch the first game Henderson was active. This was that game, and it went 16 to six. The split moved the way the preview said it would. The part that did not follow the script is the efficiency: Stevenson's six carries averaged 7.2 yards and Henderson's 16 averaged 4.8, with one 39-yard run doing most of the work in that figure. Six carries is a tiny sample, and the fumble is the play from his day the game will remember. He has no touchdown through two games. New England is at the Jaguars on Sunday the 20-seventh.

_Data via nflverse._

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