Los Angeles Rams pythagorean win delta, 2025

From the Rams weekly

Second and seven at the Philadelphia seven, a minute seventeen left, the Rams down twenty to seventeen. Two snaps earlier Kyren Williams had converted third and two with a three-yard run to the eight. This time he went around left end and into the end zone. By expected points added, what a snap was worth given the down, the distance and the field position, measured against what that situation was already worth, the run was plus three point one. By win probability, the model's read on each team's chance of winning at that moment, it was worth sixteen points, the biggest swing of the game. Then Young sacked Jalen Hurts twice, the last pass fell incomplete on fourth and twenty-five, and the Rams won twenty-four to twenty. They had trailed by ten when the fourth quarter began, and they are two and two.