New York Giants pythagorean win delta, 2025

From the Giants weekly

Eleven seconds left, the Giants up thirty to twenty-four, and Arizona at fourth and four on the Giants four, one touchdown and one kick from winning the game. The Cardinals had gotten there on a pass interference flag against Banks, eighteen yards on third and six, and then thrown three straight incompletions from the four. On fourth down Jacoby Brissett threw short left for Michael Wilson, and Banks intercepted at the two and ran it back ninety-eight yards for a touchdown. By win probability, the model's read on each team's chance of winning at that moment, Arizona was at twenty-two percent before the snap and at nothing after it. By expected points added, what a snap was worth given the down, the distance and the field position against what that situation was already worth, it was minus nine and a half for the Cardinals, the costliest play of the game. The Giants beat the Cardinals thirty-six to twenty-four at home, a week after winning twelve to seven without a touchdown.