Tennessee Titans pythagorean win delta, 2025

From the Titans weekly

First and goal at the Giants seven, twenty-four seconds left, Tennessee down twelve to seven. Cam Ward threw short left for Elic Ayomanor, and Jevon Holland intercepted it in the end zone. Before that snap the win probability model — its read on each team's chance of winning at that moment — gave the Titans forty-nine percent. The interception took forty-six points of it away, more than three times any other snap in the game. By expected points added, which measures what a snap was worth given the down, the distance and the field position against what that situation was already worth, it was minus four and a half. Moments before, on fourth and one at the Giants twenty-four, a Giants encroachment penalty had handed Tennessee a first down. The Titans lost twelve to seven at the Giants on Sunday, never led at any point, and are oh and three.