Alec Pierce (WR, Indianapolis Colts) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Sep 14, 2026.

In 2025, Alec Pierce finished WR24 at 10.7 Half-PPR points per game (159.8 total) across 15 games.

Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.

Week 1 — The Take

Pierce caught four of six targets for sixty-one yards, and the two he did not catch were deep third downs — thirty-three yards in the air on third and ten, eighteen on third and seven — that both ended in punts. His six targets carried a hundred three air yards, the most of any Colt, and his fourteen- and twenty-three-yard catches in the space of three no-huddle snaps set up Tyler Warren's touchdown in a 41–23 loss to the Ravens.

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Week 1Sep 14, 2026

Alec Pierce — Week 1: A Hundred Three Air Yards, Two Deep Misses

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2026 — through Week 1
Scored Half-PPR
Pos. rank
Half-PPR / game
10.7
Last game
2025
WR24
10.7/g

Where he ranks2025

11 leaderboards

What these mean: receiving efficiency · air yards share · contested catch rate · receiving yards per pass snap · snap share · pass-snap share · weighted opportunity rating · availability rate · target share · average separation

Colts backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.

More episodes

  • Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

    Alec Pierce Camp Update — August 31: Activated Off the PUP List

    Alec Pierce was activated from the physically-unable-to-perform list on Thursday and took individual drills, and the roster Indianapolis announced three days later keeps him, per the Colts' website. His own words: Week One is the goal, and there is rust to knock off.

  • Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

    Alec Pierce Camp Update — August 23: In a 'Good Spot,' Still Without a Date

    Shane Steichen says Alec Pierce is in a good spot on the rehabbing ankle, and the Colts signed Keenan Allen while saying the move was not about Pierce. He stayed on the physically-unable-to-perform list through both Atlanta joint practices.

  • Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

    Alec Pierce Camp Update — August 16: No Setback, No Timetable

    Chris Ballard says Alec Pierce did not need a second injection and is making great progress on the ankle. He is also still not practicing in mid-August, and nobody will name a return date.

  • 2026 PreviewJun 15, 2026

    Alec Pierce 2026 Season Preview — led the league in yards per catch, at WR35

    Pierce finished WR24 across 15 games, averaging 10.7 half-PPR points per game in a season built on consistent availability — he has suited up for 94.1% of possible games since 2021. The concern is that his profile leans on efficiency and big-play rate rather than the kind of volume metrics that tend to carry between seasons, so the inputs behind his finish are among the less repeatable kind.

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    Your episode · 2:59

    Show notes & transcript

    Alec Pierce just went for a thousand yards and led the entire NFL in yards per catch — for the second straight season. He's the 30-fifth receiver off the board. The market sees a one-trick deep threat; the data sees a thousand-yard producer at a discount. The Muffed 2026 preview.

    The 2025 season was a career year: 47 catches for a thousand three yards and six touchdowns, 10-seven a game, WR21 per game and WR24 in total — at a remarkable 21.3 yards per catch, the most explosive profile in football. The signature was a four-catch, a hundred 32-yard, two-touchdown bomb-fest against Houston in Week 18. The catches are few; the yards, somehow, are not.

    The arc is a steady climb into a defined role: five-seven a game, then four-seven, then eight-nine, and now 10-seven. He's grown every year into the field-stretcher on a real offense, and Indianapolis just paid him like a cornerstone.

    What the data says, fairly on both sides: the profile is inherently volatile — five and a half targets a game, with value that rides on deep completions, the least stable thing a receiver does year to year. That's the honest risk. But here's the counter the price ignores: he's done it two seasons running, leading the league in yards per catch both times, and his production held regardless of which quarterback was throwing — it's a repeatable skill, not a one-year fluke. A thousand-yard receiver who finished WR21 per game shouldn't be the 30-fifth off the board.

    The situation, per the reports, now leads with his own ankle: Pierce had a spring cleanup procedure on the ankle he played through last season, did no on-field work in the offseason program, and Shane Steichen's line is a return "at some point in training camp" — some reporting stretches that to well into camp. The quarterback side is the good news: Daniel Jones parlayed the career year into a two-year, 88-million-dollar deal, is ahead of schedule on the Achilles — throwing in seven-on-sevens by OTAs — and expects to be a hundred percent for Week One. And Indianapolis told you what it thinks of Pierce before the surgery: a four-year extension in March, reported around a hundred 14 million. The connection that set career highs is paid, on both ends; it just needs both bodies on the field.

    The price: pick 84, the 30-fifth receiver. Verdict: LEAN — underpriced. A two-time league leader in yards per catch coming off a thousand-yard, WR21-per-game season, priced WR35, is the market over-discounting a volatile profile. The counter: the week-to-week floor is genuinely low — a five-target deep threat will give you duds — and now the ankle adds a camp question the old version of this call didn't carry. But at this price, the discount covers both.

    September watch: his return to practice first — the ankle timeline is the new swing factor; then the target volume, where any move toward seven a game changes his floor entirely. Your whole roster gets this treatment every week — that's the show.

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