Patrick Mahomes — Week 9: 23 of 31, No Interceptions

Patrick Mahomes was efficient against the Jets: 23 of 31 for 242 yards and two touchdowns without an interception, sacked twice, in a 35-12 win. Over his 33 attempts and sacks he was worth +7.5 expected points added (EPA), what a play was worth given down, distance and field position, +0.23 a play. His completion percentage over expected (CPOE), how often he completed passes against what their difficulty predicted, was +6.5.

The drive that got Kansas City going started on his own 18, down 6-0 late in the first quarter. On third and 10 he threw short right to Travis Kelce for 17 yards, +2.4 EPA and 6.6 points of win probability, the estimate of each side's chance to win. Rashee Rice's 21-yard catch came later on the drive, and on the first snap of the second quarter, first and goal at the 7, he hit Kenneth Walker short left for the touchdown. Two snaps after Braelon Allen's fumble, second and 11 at the Jets' 25, he found Walker short right again, and Walker went the 25 yards for a 14-9 lead, +3.8 EPA.

The cost came from one rusher. David Bailey sacked him twice in 19 seconds before halftime and stripped him both times. Kansas City recovered the first; Will McDonald IV recovered the second at the Kansas City 30 with 1:41 left, -3.8 EPA and 21.1 points of win probability. Mahomes was hurt on the play and returned for the next possession.

It was above his season rate. Through Week 8 he had +33.3 EPA on 232 attempts and 9 sacks, +0.14 a play, and completed 66.4% of his passes; here he completed 74.2%. It was his fourth game this season without an interception.

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_Data via nflverse._