Baltimore Ravens pythagorean win delta, 2025

From the Ravens weekly

First and goal at the Baltimore eight, ten twenty left in the second quarter, Ravens up fourteen to seven. Tennessee handed it to Tony Pollard four straight times. Three yards, then two, then one, and on fourth and two at the two the Titans snapped it directly to Pollard, who went at right guard and was stopped by Madubuike for no gain. By expected points added, what a snap was worth given the down, the distance and the field position, measured against what that situation was already worth, the stop was minus three point one for Tennessee, and on defense a negative number is the good direction. Baltimore took over at its own two and went ninety-eight yards. Mark Andrews caught a six-yard throw on third and four to get out from the goal line, Rashod Bateman took a short throw twenty-eight yards, Zay Flowers caught one fifty-two yards to the Titans five, and two snaps later Lamar Jackson found Andrews for a three-yard touchdown and a twenty-one to seven lead. The Ravens beat the Titans twenty-four to eighteen on Sunday. They led twenty-four to seven at halftime, did not score again, and finished it by recovering an onside kick with one twelve left.