Indianapolis Colts pythagorean win delta, 2025
-1.7
4th of 32, biggest shortfall first
- +0.2
- Through the 2025 season
Did the Colts win more games than their point differential earned?
The Colts finished -1.7 wins against their pythagorean expectation in the 2025 season, 4th of 32 on this board — below zero means they won fewer games than their point differential earned.
From the Colts weekly
Third and two at the Washington five, three twenty-nine left in the first half, Colts down six to nothing, with an extra lineman reported as eligible. Jonathan Taylor went around left end for the touchdown, and Spencer Shrader's extra point put Indianapolis ahead seven to six. It never trailed again. The Colts beat the Commanders thirty to thirteen, their second straight win, and they are two and two.
Read the Week 4 note →Which teams won fewer games than their point differential in 2025?
Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5), New York Giants (-3.1), then Arizona Cardinals (-2.4) lead the league. All 32 teams on the Regression Flags board.
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