2025 season · Regression Flags

Philadelphia Eagles pythagorean win delta, 2025

+1.0

23rd of 32, biggest shortfall first

League median
+0.2
Sample
Through the 2025 season

Did the Eagles win more games than their point differential earned?

The Eagles finished +1.0 wins against their pythagorean expectation in the 2025 season, 23rd of 32 on this board — below zero means they won fewer games than their point differential earned.

From the Eagles weekly

Fourth and two at the Los Angeles two, seven thirty-one left in the game, the Eagles up twenty to ten. The drive had started at the Philadelphia thirty-six on the first snap of the fourth quarter, and it was ten straight running plays: four Tank Bigsby carries for thirty-two yards, a fourteen-yard Jalen Hurts scramble, and four Will Shipley carries down to the two. On third and two Hurts went around right end and Lake stopped him for no gain. On fourth down Hurts threw short left for Darius Cooper, and it fell incomplete. By expected points added, what a snap was worth given the down, the distance and the field position, measured against what that situation was already worth, that throw was minus two point nine. The Rams took over at their own two and went ninety-eight yards in ten plays for a touchdown. Philadelphia went three-and-out. The Rams went seventy-nine more, and Kyren Williams scored from the seven with a minute seventeen left. Rams twenty-four, Eagles twenty.

Read the Week 4 note →

Which teams won fewer games than their point differential in 2025?

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5), New York Giants (-3.1), then Arizona Cardinals (-2.4) lead the league. All 32 teams on the Regression Flags board.

More on this team: the Philadelphia Eagles page.

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