Justin Herbert or Patrick Mahomes?
Justin Herbert or Patrick Mahomes? Both are QBs. Here is what each man's 2025 season was actually built on, updated Aug 1, 2026. Justin Herbert doesn't have enough verified 2025 coverage in the file to say what his season was built on. Patrick Mahomes doesn't have enough verified 2025 coverage in the file to say what his season was built on. Figures are 2025 verified play-by-play (nflverse); scored Half-PPR. Repeatability is measured from year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025, not projected. Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice.
Justin Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Justin Herbert vs Patrick Mahomes, 2025
| Metric | Justin Herbert | Patrick Mahomes |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 finish | 11 | 4 |
| Half-PPR/G | 17.9 | 20.3 |
| Games | 16 | 14 |
| Snap share | 91.5%14th | 84.0%35th |
| Availability | 94.1%31st | 94.1%29th |
| CPOE | +3.38th | -2.931st |
| ANY/A | 5.9424th | 6.2319th |
| EPA/dropback | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| Sack rate | 9.5%6th | 6.3%18th |
A dash means the panel holds no qualifying figure for that player — usually too few games or attempts to clear the metric's floor, not a zero. Ranks are the source's own, against the population shown.
What repeats
Justin Herbert doesn't have enough verified 2025 coverage in the file to say what his season was built on. Patrick Mahomes doesn't have enough verified 2025 coverage in the file to say what his season was built on. The file doesn't hold enough of either season to separate them on durability. That is a gap in the evidence, not a verdict.
“Repeats” is measured year-over-year persistence across 2016 to 2025 — opportunity carries between seasons, scoring rate largely does not. This describes what a 2025 season was built on. It is not a forecast, and Muffed publishes no projections, draft grades or start/sit advice. How we measure it.
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The same verified data, told as the story of each man's season.
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Muffed, “Justin Herbert vs Patrick Mahomes, 2025 verified comparison,” muffed.ai/compare/justin-herbert-vs-patrick-mahomes. Through the 2025 season. Data via nflverse · NFL Next Gen Stats via nflverse; FTN Data via nflverse.
Free to quote and link with credit. The underlying figures are recomputed from public play-by-play — see how we verify every number.