Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Tyrone Tracy has given the Giants two nearly identical seasons — nine-point-six and nine-point-five Half-PPR points a game — and the market has priced him like neither happened. RB42, pick one-thirty-two, eleven spots below his own rate. The discount isn't about his tape. It's about the man rehabbing an ankle one locker over.

The season: fifteen games, a hundred seventy-six carries for seven hundred forty yards — four-point-two a carry — plus thirty-six catches on forty-eight targets for two hundred eighty-eight more, and four total touchdowns. Nine-point-five Half-PPR points a game, thirty-first among backs per game, twenty-eighth in total. That's a thousand twenty-eight scrimmage yards on a four-and-thirteen team — his second straight year over a thousand from scrimmage, which SI's Giants coverage notes makes him the third Giant ever to open a career with two of those, after Odell Beckham and Saquon Barkley. The receiving chops are the fantasy-relevant part: thirty-six catches at half a point each is the floor this format pays for.

Two seasons, one shape: nine-six as a rookie converted receiver, nine-five in year two, seventeen and fifteen games. In a format that rewards catching, a back who was a wideout in college keeps arriving pre-adapted.

The pattern beat is honest about its limits. Our library has no validated running back volume-stickiness pattern — the year-over-year receipts we trust are receiver and tight end stats — and the year-two-back pattern we tested is dead on our public kill list. Aging isn't in play either; this is career year three, and the fade cohort starts at five. So the licensed observation is narrow: two consecutive seasons at the same rate is his own base rate, his touchdown share is modest — point-one-five, no luck to unwind — and everything else in this price is a coaching decision our data can't model.

The coaching decision, dated. John Harbaugh was hired in January — five years, per the team site — and imported his Baltimore infrastructure: Matt Nagy coordinating, and Patrick Ricard, signed in March as the league's highest-paid fullback, per Big Blue View. That's a power-run identity forming. The competition: Cam Skattebo, whose twenty-twenty-five ended in late October with a gruesome ankle — dislocation and fracture, per Bleacher Report — was back in eleven-on-eleven work by June ninth of minicamp, per PFT, and the June reporting splits cleanly down the middle: Bleacher Report expects him to reclaim clear lead duties; SI's June fifteenth read says Tracy should be the RB1, quote, by default, but the expectation is a committee. Nobody in the building has said the words. Jaxson Dart enters year two behind it, and Malik Nabers' second knee procedure clouds the passing game's ceiling, per PFT in May.

The price: RB42 at pick one-thirty-two for a back who has finished thirty-first and twenty-eighth by rate in consecutive seasons — the market is pricing the committee's worst-case seat. Our verdict: watchlist. We can't underwrite a job the head coach won't describe, and we won't fade two identical thousand-yard seasons either. Caveat, both directions: if Skattebo's ankle makes him the tone-setter Harbaugh keeps praising, Tracy's the two-minute back and this price is right; if the committee tilts even slightly toward the pass-catcher, you bought a weekly flex at a bench price.

Watch the preseason touch script — who takes the first third-down series — and Skattebo's practice load when pads come on. A power scheme with a highest-paid fullback still needs somebody to catch it on third down, and that somebody has caught seventy-four passes in two years. He's one of your guys? Every player on your roster gets this treatment — every week, all season.