Terry McLaurin (WR, Washington Commanders) — 2026 fantasy outlook, updated Jun 13, 2026.
In 2025, Terry McLaurin finished WR54 at 9.5 Half-PPR points per game (95.2 total) across 10 games.
Muffed's 2026 take on Terry McLaurin: 13 TDs in 2024, 3 in 2025; a proven, aging vet whose ceiling year was touchdown-inflated.
Based on verified 2025 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring.
13 TDs in 2024, 3 in 2025; a proven, aging vet whose ceiling year was touchdown-inflated.
When Terry McLaurin's week moves the numbers, you'll know — every episode, in one weekly email.
Terry McLaurin Camp Update — August 31: The share question goes to Week One
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2025: 38 catches for 582 yards, 3 TDs on 60 targets (10 games)
Where he ranks — 2025
Commanders backfield and handcuffs — the depth chart behind him, refreshed daily.
More episodes
- Camp · Aug 23, 2026
Terry McLaurin Camp Update — August 23: A quiet week for the target math
McLaurin practiced through the week and was off the hold-out list in Detroit, but the starting offense played three snaps and no McLaurin target surfaced in the coverage we accessed. The health file stays clean; the Diggs target question stays unanswered for another week.
- Camp · Aug 16, 2026
Terry McLaurin Camp Update — August 16: Winning Every Rep, Sharing the Room With Diggs
McLaurin swept his one-on-ones against Miami and looks every bit healthy, which was half the June question. The other half just changed shape: Stefon Diggs is officially a Commander, and the target math has a new claimant.
- 2026 Preview
Terry McLaurin 2026 Season Preview — an aging alpha, a ten-game year
WATCHLIST — 13 TDs in 2024, 3 in 2025; a proven, aging vet whose ceiling year was touchdown-inflated.
Show notes & transcript
Terry McLaurin scored 13 touchdowns in 2024 and three in 2025 — and the second number is closer to who he is. Add a 10-game season and his age, and you have a proven receiver in a genuinely uncertain spot. The Muffed 2026 preview.
The 2025 season was elite-when-active, rarely active: 38 catches, 582 yards, three touchdowns in 10 games, with a 23 percent target share and 37 percent of the air yards when he played. The signature was a Week 13 overtime touchdown against Denver, his biggest day at 22 points — in a game Washington still lost. The usage was alpha; the availability and the scoring were not.
The arc is the cautionary tale: a steady thousand-yard floor for years, then a 13-touchdown spike in 2024 that vaulted him to WR14, and then 2025 — the touchdowns regressed to three and the body broke down. The 13-touchdown season was the outlier; the receiving line underneath it was always more WR2 than WR1.
What the data says: the volume, when healthy, is real and sticky — a 23 percent share is a genuine alpha role. But he's a career-year-seven receiver now, the age band where decline accelerates, and the touchdown rate that made his best season already came back to earth. You're buying a proven, aging vet whose ceiling year was touchdown-inflated.
The situation has two injury variables, and both are trending the right way, per the reports: McLaurin missed about seven games with a quad and hip-flexor issue, and Jayden Daniels missed roughly half the year with an elbow injury that required him to be shut down for the stretch run — so the down year was partly his own health and partly his quarterback's. Both are confirmed healthy and fully participating in 2026's offseason program: McLaurin has drawn praise for a "remarkable offseason" of energy and leadership, and Daniels has run with the first-team offense, including snaps under center in a new-look scheme, without a setback reported. A full season of a healthy Daniels and a healthy McLaurin could restore the floor.
The price: pick 53, the 20-third receiver. Verdict: WATCHLIST — the proven volume and a healthy Daniels argue for a bounce, but the age, the injury year, and the regressed touchdown spike are real drags, and which level is "real" is genuinely unclear. The counter for him: when he and Daniels were both on the field, the usage was WR1-caliber. Against: that's two health bets on a year-seven receiver, even if both are looking good in shorts.
September watch: whether the health holds into live contact, the whole question; and the touchdown rate, somewhere between the 13 and the three. If he's one of your guys, Muffed builds this show for your whole roster — every player, every week, all season.
- 2025 Review
Terry McLaurin 2025 Season in Review
Show notes & transcript
Terry McLaurin finished 2025 as the number 56 wide receiver in total PPR scoring — but the number 35 wide receiver in PPR per game among players who suited up at least six times. That gap tells you everything: this was an availability problem, not a talent problem. McLaurin played just 10 games for a five-and-12 Washington team, and when he was on the field, the offense funneled him work like he was still the alpha. But seven missed games torpedoed any shot at a useful season total, and the games he did play came inside a passing attack that produced minus 5.3 expected points added on the year. McLaurin got muffed by injuries and by a quarterback room cycling through Marcus Mariota and others while Jayden Daniels was unavailable. Steady mid-range production when active — zero of the massive weeks fantasy managers needed.
Now let's dig into the numbers. McLaurin caught 38 balls for 582 yards and 3 touchdowns on 60 targets across his 10 games — a 23 percent target share and a 37 percent share of his team's air yards. Genuinely elite alpha usage. The role never wavered. He averaged 11.4 PPR points per game, and the consistency was the story: his 10 games ranged from a low of 4.7 to a high of 22.6, with seven landing between 7 and 16 PPR points. That's a steady floor profile, not boom-or-bust — he cleared 14 points just three times all year and never hit 25. The deeper issue: just 93 yards after the catch across the entire season, which is why the ceiling stayed capped even with target volume that screamed top-20 wide receiver. Deebo Samuel led Washington with 72 catches for 727 yards, and that's only because McLaurin missed seven games — the per-game role was still his to lose. 10 games at 11.4 a pop simply can't compete with healthy receivers stacking 17.
The defining beat came Week 13 against the Broncos — fourth and three at the Denver three-yard line, two minutes and 50 seconds into overtime, Washington down 20 to 27. Mariota took the shotgun snap, looked short left, and found McLaurin for the touchdown. It was his biggest fantasy day of the year: 22.6 PPR points on seven catches for 96 yards and a score, in a game Washington still lost. That's the McLaurin 2025 experience in one snapshot — elite usage, a clutch red-zone target, a loss on the scoreboard, and a fantasy line that was good but never spectacular.
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