Quentin Johnston

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• Week 4Oct 6, 2026

  Quentin Johnston — Week 4: Forty-Four on Fourth and Seven

  Johnston's one catch against the Seahawks was a 44-yarder on fourth and 7 from the Chargers' 10 with 3:28 left, down 30–20, the most valuable Chargers play of the game; the drive ended in a field goal. He was thrown to twice and lost 4 yards on his one carry, in a 30–23 loss.

• Week 3Sep 28, 2026

  Quentin Johnston — Week 3: Three Catches, Forty Yards

  Johnston caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards and two first downs, including 21 yards on third and 1 on the last snap of the first half. His last target, third and 10 down 17–13 with 5:18 left, fell incomplete and cost 6.2 points of win probability; the Chargers turned it over on downs one snap later, in a 24–16 loss to the Bills.

• Week 2Sep 21, 2026

  Quentin Johnston — Week 2: Five Targets, One Catch, Seven Yards

  Johnston led the Chargers with five targets and caught one, a seven-yard first down on the second snap of the game. All three deep throws his way fell incomplete, one on third and two with 0:47 left in the half before a punt that became a Raiders field goal. He added a seven-yard run, in a 26–14 loss to the Raiders.

• Week 1Sep 14, 2026

  Quentin Johnston — Week 1: Six Targets, Seventeen Yards

  Johnston was thrown to six times, tied for second on the Chargers with Tre Harris behind Ladd McConkey's seven, and caught two for 17 yards, neither for a first down. Four of the six came after McConkey left the game in the third quarter; the deep incompletion on third and 11 with 12:32 left in the fourth cost 4.7 points of win probability, in a 26–14 loss to the Cardinals.

• Camp · Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026

  Quentin Johnston Camp Update — August 31: A Highlight, Not a Verdict

  Johnston caught a sixty-five-yard play-action touchdown from Justin Herbert in the finale, the one skill-position event of the starters' four-play night, and made the fifty-three as a listed starter. One explosive play is a highlight; the scoring-rate and target-share questions from June remain unanswered by it.

• Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

  Quentin Johnston Camp Update — August 23: Another Week Without Target News

  The starters' preseason series lasted three snaps, the two throws went to Kolar and McConkey, and no Johnston usage was reported in the loss. The target-math question from June reaches cut week untouched by evidence.

• Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

  Quentin Johnston Camp Update — August 16: Top Three by Decree, Number Two by Depth Chart

  Harbaugh named Johnston one of his top three receivers, and a cornerback broke up one of his targets Saturday. The June math on his touchdown-heavy breakout has not moved an inch.

• 2026 PreviewJun 15, 2026

  Quentin Johnston 2026 Season Preview — a breakout rate, a touchdown cliff, an alpha ahead of him

  Johnston finished as WR32 across 13 games, averaging 11.2 half-PPR points per game on a profile leaning heavily on touchdown rate rather than sustained volume — the kind of efficiency that historical data shows does not carry reliably between seasons. With Ladd McConkey commanding the alpha role in Los Angeles, Johnston's path to repeating that output depends on scoring rate holding, which is the least stable input a receiver can own.

  Read the full preview ▾

  Quentin Johnston went from first-round bust talk to a per-game top-16 receiver last season. The catch: it was built on a touchdown rate that doesn't last, behind a teammate who's the real number one. He's the 40-first receiver off the board. The Muffed 2026 preview.

  The 2025 season was a genuine step up: 51 catches on 84 targets for 735 yards and eight touchdowns, 11-two a game, WR16 per game though WR35 in total. The signature was a five-catch, 79-yard, two-touchdown opener against Kansas City. After two quiet years, he finally produced.

  The arc is a real climb: four-four a game as a rookie, nine-eight, and now 11-two. The former first-rounder is trending up.

  Here's the caution the price has to weigh. His touchdown share is 28 percent — top-quartile, the zone our fade rule docks by nearly two points a game. Eight touchdowns on 51 catches is a rate that regresses, and the WR16-per-game rate leans on it. His underlying volume — six targets a game — is a complementary load, not an alpha's. Strip the touchdown luck and the per-game rate comes down.

  The situation, per the reports, is mixed — with the team's own signal now on record: Keenan Allen isn't technically gone — he's an unsigned free agent, and the GM says the door isn't closed on a reunion — but he's off the roster as camp approaches, which opens targets. The new offense is Mike McDaniel's, and his short, yards-after-catch scheme most favors slot man Ladd McConkey, who profiles as the clear alpha, with Johnston the outside complement. The signal: the Chargers exercised Johnston's fifth-year option — roughly 18 million guaranteed for 2027 — after shooting down trade chatter, and Johnston called the validation meaningful. More opportunity, a paid vote of confidence — but not the lead role.

  The price: pick 100, the 40-first receiver. Verdict: WATCHLIST — the ascending arrow and the available Allen targets argue up; the touchdown regression and McConkey's alpha role argue the WR16 rate won't repeat. Priced WR41, a full tier below the WR16 per-game rate, the tag is the market pre-charging the touchdown regression and the number-two role — roughly fair, with real range. The counter for him: a rising former first-rounder, newly locked in through 2027, with more targets available, could break out. Against: eight touchdowns regress and he's the number two. A genuine coin flip.

  September watch: the touchdown rate — the regression is the whole question; and the target split with Ladd McConkey. Your whole roster gets this treatment every week — that's the show.