Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs finished 2025 as the number 13 running back in total points-per-reception scoring and the number 10 back in points per game. That's a second straight year of locked-in starter production in Green Bay, built almost entirely on one thing: touchdowns. Jacobs didn't break long runs. He didn't dominate the receiving game. He didn't dust defenders in space. What he did was finish drives — tied for fourth in the entire league with 13 rushing scores. In a Packers offense that ranked fourth in total offensive expected points added, Jacobs was the guy they fed when the field got short, and he cashed in often enough to live as a back-end number 1 running back every week he was upright.

Now let's dig into the numbers — and the numbers explain everything. Jacobs ran 234 times for 929 yards across 15 games — exactly four a carry — and his rushing yards over expected came in at minus 7.3, ranking 37th among qualified runners. Translation: slightly below-average per-carry, and the volume wasn't elite either. The receiving role was modest: 36 catches on 44 targets for 282 yards on a 10 percent target share, fine but nothing that props up a floor. So the fantasy value was almost pure touchdown equity, and that made him boom-or-bust by design. The game log screams it. Four games above 19 points, including a 32-point eruption against the Bengals and a 31.7 against the Cowboys — but also a 4.0 at the Giants, a 4.8 at the Bears in Week 16, and a 1.3 against the Ravens in Week 17. When the touchdowns came, he was a league-winner. When they didn't, he was a zero. No middle.

The play that captured the whole season came in Week 15 at Denver. Third quarter, first and ten at the Broncos' 40, Packers up 16 to 14 — Jacobs took a handoff off left tackle and went the distance. Forty yards, touchdown, nearly four expected points on a single snap. That was the only truly explosive run on his top-play leaderboard all year; everything else was a short-yardage or red-zone finish from inside the 20. That's Jacobs in 2025 in one image: a touchdown merchant in a high-powered offense, occasionally capable of the bigger play, but earning his fantasy keep at the goal line.