Josh Jacobs

More episodes

• Camp · Aug 23, 2026Aug 23, 2026

  Josh Jacobs Camp Update — August 23: Returned to Practice on Tuesday

  Josh Jacobs returned to practice Tuesday after the groin injury that cost him two weeks, then sat Friday's game in Denver while the backups split the carries. The recovery ran on the projected timeline; the football questions still wait for September.

• Camp · Aug 16, 2026Aug 17, 2026

  Josh Jacobs Camp Update — August 16: A Groin, a Missed Game, and the Caution Intact

  Josh Jacobs missed the preseason opener with a groin injury and is expected out at least another week. The team calls it minor; the June caution about a year-seven back's margin for error just got its first entry.

• 2026 PreviewJun 13, 2026

  Josh Jacobs 2026 Season Preview — the triple flag

  Jacobs finished as the RB12 with 14.6 half-PPR points per game across 15 games, a season built on sustained volume as Green Bay's featured back rather than on efficiency or touchdown luck. His 90.6% availability rate from 2021–25 confirms that the workload holding up is the repeatable part; the scoring rate that inflated any given week is not.

  ▾

  0:002:36

  1x

  1515

  Your episode · 2:36

  Show notes & transcript

  Josh Jacobs scored 13 rushing touchdowns last year and finished a top-10 back per game. He also ran for four yards a carry, finished below average in yards over expected, and turns 28 this season. That's three flags on one back, and the price is paying for none of them. The Muffed 2026 preview.

  The season: 14-six a game, RB8 per game, on a heavy Green Bay workload — but the value was almost pure touchdown equity. 13 rushing scores, tied fourth in the league. Underneath them: four yards a carry and −7 rushing yards over expected, 30-seventh among qualified backs. The signature was a 40-yard touchdown at Denver — and it was, by the data, the only truly explosive run on his entire leaderboard all year. Boom-or-bust by design: four big games, four near-zeroes.

  The arc: 12-five, 16-two, 14-six. The good years are touchdown-inflated, and the most recent one came with declining efficiency — his yards per carry fell from four-four to four-flat.

  Now the three flags, because this is the cleanest fade in the batch. One: his touchdown share is 35.4 percent, the highest of any back we cover, deep in the quartile our rule fades by three points a game. Two: he's a career-year-seven back at age 28, where the RB aging curve docks another point-plus. Three: his rushing efficiency was below average — −7 over expected — so he isn't creating the yardage, he's converting goal-line volume into scores that won't repeat at that rate.

  The situation doesn't help, per the reports: Jacobs projects to dominate Green Bay's backfield touches again, which keeps the volume — but the offense lost about a hundred vacated touches it hasn't replenished, his cap number is a future concern, and he dealt with calf, knee, and ankle issues in 2025. Volume on poor efficiency at age 28 is the exact profile that falls off without warning.

  The price: pick 39, the eighteenth back. Verdict: CALL — overpriced. Touchdown-share fade, aging fade, and below-average efficiency, all on the same player, at a price that assumes the 13 touchdowns repeat. The counter: the workload is secure and goal-line backs score touchdowns — but 13 on this efficiency, at this age, is the bet we won't make. Let someone else.

  September watch: the goal-line touchdown rate, where 13 scores has the most to lose; and the yards per carry, which needs to climb off four-flat to argue the efficiency isn't gone. Your guys, every week. Next preview's queued.

• 2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026

  Josh Jacobs 2025 Season in Review

  ▾

  0:002:46

  1x

  1515

  Your episode · 2:46

  Show notes & transcript

  Josh Jacobs finished 2025 as the number 13 running back in total points-per-reception scoring and the number 10 back in points per game. That's a second straight year of locked-in starter production in Green Bay, built almost entirely on one thing: touchdowns. Jacobs didn't break long runs. He didn't dominate the receiving game. He didn't dust defenders in space. What he did was finish drives — tied for fourth in the entire league with 13 rushing scores. In a Packers offense that ranked fourth in total offensive expected points added, Jacobs was the guy they fed when the field got short, and he cashed in often enough to live as a back-end number 1 running back every week he was upright.

  Now let's dig into the numbers — and the numbers explain everything. Jacobs ran 234 times for 929 yards across 15 games — exactly four a carry — and his rushing yards over expected came in at minus 7.3, ranking 37th among qualified runners. Translation: slightly below-average per-carry, and the volume wasn't elite either. The receiving role was modest: 36 catches on 44 targets for 282 yards on a 10 percent target share, fine but nothing that props up a floor. So the fantasy value was almost pure touchdown equity, and that made him boom-or-bust by design. The game log screams it. Four games above 19 points, including a 32-point eruption against the Bengals and a 31.7 against the Cowboys — but also a 4.0 at the Giants, a 4.8 at the Bears in Week 16, and a 1.3 against the Ravens in Week 17. When the touchdowns came, he was a league-winner. When they didn't, he was a zero. No middle.

  The play that captured the whole season came in Week 15 at Denver. Third quarter, first and 10 at the Broncos' 40, Packers up 16 to 14 — Jacobs took a handoff off left tackle and went the distance. 40 yards, touchdown, nearly four expected points on a single snap. That was the only truly explosive run on his top-play leaderboard all year; everything else was a short-yardage or red-zone finish from inside the 20. That's Jacobs in 2025 in one image: a touchdown merchant in a high-powered offense, occasionally capable of the bigger play, but earning his fantasy keep at the goal line.