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11-2 in one-score games · 62 precedents since 2016
Teams that won at least 65 percent of their one-score games declined by about three wins the following year and improved just 11 percent of the time across 62 cases from 2016 to 2025. As of July 28, 2026, Denver also carries the league's largest Pythagorean overshoot at 3.0 wins.
1st of 32 in EPA per dropback · 0.28 on unstable snaps
His 0.32 EPA per dropback led the league across 601 dropbacks in 2025, and on the unstable slice — pressured, blitzed, or third and fourth down — he averaged 0.28 while 18 of the 32 primary starters went negative.
WR5 price, WR34 finish · No. 9 overall on Jul 28, 2026
He averaged 9.4 Half-PPR points per game across 17 games in 2025, yet sits ninth overall and WR5 in the July 28, 2026 FantasyPros snapshot. Every other top-15 pick finished within 11 spots of his positional price; Jefferson finished 29 spots below.
38.3% pressure vs 26.2% · 3,940 blitzes charted in 2025
On 3,940 charted five-rusher dropbacks in 2025, pressure rate jumped to 38.3 percent from 26.2 with four rushers, yet offenses gained 0.064 EPA per dropback against the blitz versus 0.033 against four. Team blitz rate and EPA allowed were nearly uncorrelated at r = -0.09.
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