Stat Stickiness Rankings
Stat Stickiness — 2016-2025 NFL rankings, updated Sep 3, 2026. Average depth of target is the most repeatable stat measured, correlating 0.90 from one season to the next across 20 qualifying metrics. Computed from nflverse weekly player data, regular season only, over consecutive-season pairs in which both seasons clear the volume floor.
Stickiness is how strongly a player's number in one season predicts his number in the next, measured as a correlation across every consecutive pair of qualifying seasons from 2016 to 2025. It sorts the stats worth projecting from the ones that are mostly noise. Usage sits at the top — how deep a player is targeted, and how much of his offense he commands, are close to fixed traits. Touchdowns sit at the bottom, which is why a career year in the end zone is the least safe thing to pay for.
| # | Metric | r | r² | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Average depth of target | 0.90 | 0.81 | 745 |
| 2 | Air yards share | 0.79 | 0.62 | 745 |
| 3 | Receiving yards per game | 0.68 | 0.47 | 745 |
| 4 | Targets per game | 0.68 | 0.46 | 745 |
| 5 | WOPR | 0.66 | 0.43 | 745 |
| 6 | Carries per game | 0.64 | 0.41 | 282 |
| 7 | Receptions per game | 0.63 | 0.40 | 745 |
| 8 | Rushing yards per game | 0.56 | 0.31 | 282 |
| 9 | Target share | 0.55 | 0.31 | 745 |
| 10 | Yards per target | 0.42 | 0.18 | 745 |
| 11 | Rushing touchdown rate per carry | 0.41 | 0.17 | 282 |
| 12 | Receiving touchdowns per game | 0.40 | 0.16 | 745 |
| 13 | Yards per carry | 0.38 | 0.14 | 282 |
| 14 | Receiving touchdowns | 0.36 | 0.13 | 745 |
| 15 | Rushing touchdowns per game | 0.35 | 0.13 | 282 |
| 16 | Passing yards | 0.34 | 0.11 | 209 |
| 17 | Passing touchdowns | 0.34 | 0.11 | 209 |
| 18 | Rushing touchdowns | 0.31 | 0.09 | 282 |
| 19 | Pass attempts | 0.30 | 0.09 | 209 |
| 20 | Receiving touchdown rate per target | 0.20 | 0.04 | 745 |
More leaderboards
- Rushing Yards Over Expected
- Target Share
- Running Back Receiving Efficiency
- Completion Percentage Over Expected
- Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt
- Quarterback Pressure Rate
- Defensive Blitz Rate
- Quarterbacks vs Man and Zone Coverage
- Pass Rate Over Expected
- Clean-Core Rating
- Usage vs Production
- Team Expected Points Added
- Quarterback EPA per Dropback
- QB Composite Rating
- Air Yards Share
- Stacked Box Rate
- Regression Flags
- Weighted Opportunity Rating
- Snap Share
- Pass-Snap Share
- Receiving Yards per Pass Snap
- Availability
- Tight End Receiving Efficiency
- Tight End Average Depth of Target
- Play-Action Rate
- Pre-Snap Motion Rate
- Drop Rate
- Contested Catch Rate
- Interception-Worthy Throw Rate
- Quarterback-Fault Sack Rate
- Quarterback Intended Air Yards
- Team Air Yards and Passing Volume
- Receiver Separation and Cushion
- Wide Receiver Receiving Efficiency
- Team Success Rate and Explosive Play Rate
- Goal-Line Usage
- Quarterback Deep Ball
- Team Pace
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