2016 season · Quarterbacks, 36+ deep attempts through Week 3, 33 qualifiers

Quarterback Deep Ball Leaders

Quarterback Deep Ball — 2016 NFL leaders, updated Sep 29, 2026. Matt Ryan (ATL) led the league in deep-ball expected points added per attempt at 1.08, ahead of 32 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2016 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2016 season.

A deep ball is defined by where it was aimed, not by where it ended up: 20 or more air yards past the line of scrimmage, caught, dropped or overthrown. That is why the split is worth its own page. A completion rate near 50 percent down here is excellent where the same number on a full passing line would be alarming, and the expected-points column is the one that settles arguments, because a deep incompletion costs an offense almost nothing while a deep completion is often the whole drive. Read the rate column last: how often a quarterback goes deep is mostly his coordinator's decision, and it belongs next to how well it went rather than inside it.

Quarterback Deep Ball, 2016 NFL season
#PlayerDeep AttDeep Cmp%EPA/AttDeep YdsDeep RateListen
1Matt RyanATL6752.2%1.081,22512.5%
2Derek CarrLV5448.1%1.058729.5%
3Tom BradyNE5042.0%0.9779311.5%
4Kirk CousinsWAS7948.1%0.951,35513.0%
5Andy DaltonCIN6546.2%0.921,03511.5%
6Sam BradfordMIN4847.9%0.857628.7%
7Matthew StaffordDET6038.3%0.8495110.1%
8Drew BreesNO7050.0%0.791,27010.4%
9Andrew LuckIND6949.3%0.771,05812.6%
10Dak PrescottDAL4037.5%0.774918.7%
11Ben RoethlisbergerPIT8541.2%0.771,09816.4%
12Russell WilsonSEA7447.3%0.751,19013.5%
13Marcus MariotaTEN5942.4%0.7077913.0%
14Jared GoffLAR1729.4%0.541668.3%
15Case KeenumLAR3438.2%0.5149710.6%
16Aaron RodgersGB7533.3%0.5085712.3%
17Ryan TannehillMIA4436.4%0.4866511.3%
18Brian HoyerCHI1833.3%0.462079.0%
19Philip RiversLAC6333.3%0.3982510.9%
20Tyrod TaylorBUF6230.6%0.3771014.2%
21Cam NewtonCAR6726.9%0.3770913.0%
22Trevor SiemianDEN5129.4%0.3558210.5%
23Ryan FitzpatrickNYJ5137.3%0.2757912.7%
24Carson WentzPHI6035.0%0.266669.8%
25Alex SmithKC4436.4%0.265429.0%
26Colin KaepernickSF3432.4%0.1736110.3%
27Carson PalmerARI7027.1%0.1660611.6%
28Eli ManningNYG7230.6%0.1474012.0%
29Jameis WinstonTB6625.8%0.0954411.5%
30Brock OsweilerHOU6518.5%-0.1339512.7%
31Joe FlaccoBAL6320.6%-0.224989.3%
32Blake BortlesJAX7021.4%-0.3442511.2%
33Matt BarkleyCHI3330.3%-0.5427615.3%

Sacks are excluded, because a sack has no air yards and is not an attempt. The deep rate divides by the passer's own attempts rather than by his dropbacks for the same reason.

New to this stat? What deep-ball expected points added per attempt means.

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