2016 season · Quarterbacks, 200+ attempts, 33 qualifiers

Quarterback Deep Ball Leaders

Quarterback Deep Ball — 2016 NFL leaders, updated Aug 13, 2026. Matt Ryan (ATL) led the league in deep-ball expected points added per attempt at 1.08, ahead of 32 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2016 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2016 season.

A deep ball is defined by where it was aimed, not by where it ended up: 20 or more air yards past the line of scrimmage, caught, dropped or overthrown. That is why the split is worth its own page. A completion rate near 50 percent down here is excellent where the same number on a full passing line would be alarming, and the expected-points column is the one that settles arguments, because a deep incompletion costs an offense almost nothing while a deep completion is often the whole drive. Read the rate column last: how often a quarterback goes deep is mostly his coordinator's decision, and it belongs next to how well it went rather than inside it.

Quarterback Deep Ball, 2016 NFL season
#PlayerDeep AttDeep Cmp%EPA/AttDeep YdsDeep Rate
1Matt RyanQB · ATL6752.2%1.081,22512.5%
2Derek CarrQB · LV5448.1%1.058729.5%
3Tom BradyQB · NE5042.0%0.9779311.5%
4Kirk CousinsQB · WAS7948.1%0.951,35513.0%
5Andy DaltonQB · CIN6546.2%0.921,03511.5%
6Sam BradfordQB · MIN4847.9%0.857628.7%
7Matthew StaffordQB · DET6038.3%0.8495110.1%
8Drew BreesQB · NO7050.0%0.791,27010.4%
9Andrew LuckQB · IND6949.3%0.771,05812.6%
10Dak PrescottQB · DAL4037.5%0.774918.7%
11Ben RoethlisbergerQB · PIT8541.2%0.771,09816.4%
12Russell WilsonQB · SEA7447.3%0.751,19013.5%
13Marcus MariotaQB · TEN5942.4%0.7077913.0%
14Jared GoffQB · LAR1729.4%0.541668.3%
15Case KeenumQB · LAR3438.2%0.5149710.6%
16Aaron RodgersQB · GB7533.3%0.5085712.3%
17Ryan TannehillQB · MIA4436.4%0.4866511.3%
18Brian HoyerQB · CHI1833.3%0.462079.0%
19Philip RiversQB · LAC6333.3%0.3982510.9%
20Tyrod TaylorQB · BUF6230.6%0.3771014.2%
21Cam NewtonQB · CAR6726.9%0.3770913.0%
22Trevor SiemianQB · DEN5129.4%0.3558210.5%
23Ryan FitzpatrickQB · NYJ5137.3%0.2757912.7%
24Carson WentzQB · PHI6035.0%0.266669.8%
25Alex SmithQB · KC4436.4%0.265429.0%
26Colin KaepernickQB · SF3432.4%0.1736110.3%
27Carson PalmerQB · ARI7027.1%0.1660611.6%
28Eli ManningQB · NYG7230.6%0.1474012.0%
29Jameis WinstonQB · TB6625.8%0.0954411.5%
30Brock OsweilerQB · HOU6518.5%-0.1339512.7%
31Joe FlaccoQB · BAL6320.6%-0.224989.3%
32Blake BortlesQB · JAX7021.4%-0.3442511.2%
33Matt BarkleyQB · CHI3330.3%-0.5427615.3%

Sacks are excluded, because a sack has no air yards and is not an attempt. The deep rate divides by the passer's own attempts rather than by his dropbacks for the same reason.

New to this stat? What deep-ball expected points added per attempt means.

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