2018 season · Quarterbacks, 200+ attempts, 33 qualifiers

Quarterback Deep Ball Leaders

Quarterback Deep Ball — 2018 NFL leaders, updated Aug 13, 2026. Russell Wilson (SEA) led the league in deep-ball expected points added per attempt at 1.02, ahead of 32 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2018 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2018 season.

A deep ball is defined by where it was aimed, not by where it ended up: 20 or more air yards past the line of scrimmage, caught, dropped or overthrown. That is why the split is worth its own page. A completion rate near 50 percent down here is excellent where the same number on a full passing line would be alarming, and the expected-points column is the one that settles arguments, because a deep incompletion costs an offense almost nothing while a deep completion is often the whole drive. Read the rate column last: how often a quarterback goes deep is mostly his coordinator's decision, and it belongs next to how well it went rather than inside it.

Quarterback Deep Ball, 2018 NFL season
#PlayerDeep AttDeep Cmp%EPA/AttDeep YdsDeep Rate
1Russell WilsonQB · SEA7142.3%1.021,06116.6%
2Drew BreesQB · NO5349.1%0.9181810.8%
3Jared GoffQB · LAR6346.0%0.8397911.2%
4Patrick MahomesQB · KC8840.9%0.751,36915.1%
5Philip RiversQB · LAC5642.9%0.7584710.9%
6Ryan FitzpatrickQB · TB3748.6%0.6865915.0%
7Dak PrescottQB · DAL5435.2%0.6177110.2%
8Matt RyanQB · ATL7338.4%0.6198311.9%
9Matthew StaffordQB · DET5335.8%0.596599.5%
10Ben RoethlisbergerQB · PIT8331.3%0.571,04312.2%
11Eli ManningQB · NYG6838.2%0.5788011.7%
12Aaron RodgersQB · GB8632.6%0.561,03314.3%
13Baker MayfieldQB · CLE7338.4%0.5594614.8%
14Marcus MariotaQB · TEN3444.1%0.4947410.2%
15Andy DaltonQB · CIN3438.2%0.474179.3%
16Kirk CousinsQB · MIN6232.3%0.4771910.1%
17Andrew LuckQB · IND6741.8%0.4694710.4%
18Deshaun WatsonQB · HOU5841.4%0.3977611.5%
19Derek CarrQB · LV5646.4%0.3880310.1%
20Alex SmithQB · WAS3531.4%0.2733910.6%
21Carson WentzQB · PHI4535.6%0.2659511.2%
22Jameis WinstonQB · TB4226.2%0.2041411.0%
23Nick MullensQB · SF2040.0%0.182627.3%
24Tom BradyQB · NE6230.6%0.1463910.9%
25Mitchell TrubiskyQB · CHI6732.8%0.1176015.3%
26Joe FlaccoQB · BAL5123.5%0.0839313.4%
27Sam DarnoldQB · NYJ5927.1%0.0548714.2%
28Case KeenumQB · DEN6836.8%0.0383911.6%
29Blake BortlesQB · JAX4231.0%-0.0246010.4%
30Ryan TannehillQB · MIA3525.7%-0.0734812.8%
31Josh RosenQB · ARI4928.6%-0.0846412.4%
32Josh AllenQB · BUF6524.6%-0.1353920.3%
33Cam NewtonQB · CAR3923.1%-0.192468.2%

Sacks are excluded, because a sack has no air yards and is not an attempt. The deep rate divides by the passer's own attempts rather than by his dropbacks for the same reason.

New to this stat? What deep-ball expected points added per attempt means.

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