2020 season · Quarterbacks, 200+ attempts, 36 qualifiers

Quarterback Deep Ball Leaders

Quarterback Deep Ball — 2020 NFL leaders, updated Aug 13, 2026. Nick Mullens (SF) led the league in deep-ball expected points added per attempt at 1.38, ahead of 35 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2020 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2020 season.

A deep ball is defined by where it was aimed, not by where it ended up: 20 or more air yards past the line of scrimmage, caught, dropped or overthrown. That is why the split is worth its own page. A completion rate near 50 percent down here is excellent where the same number on a full passing line would be alarming, and the expected-points column is the one that settles arguments, because a deep incompletion costs an offense almost nothing while a deep completion is often the whole drive. Read the rate column last: how often a quarterback goes deep is mostly his coordinator's decision, and it belongs next to how well it went rather than inside it.

Quarterback Deep Ball, 2020 NFL season
#PlayerDeep AttDeep Cmp%EPA/AttDeep YdsDeep Rate
1Nick MullensQB · SF2065.0%1.383906.1%
2Ryan FitzpatrickQB · MIA2060.0%1.354017.4%
3Dak PrescottQB · DAL2853.6%1.1550812.5%
4Derek CarrQB · LV6346.0%1.051,12812.2%
5Aaron RodgersQB · GB7843.6%0.981,28814.8%
6Deshaun WatsonQB · HOU6250.0%0.911,04911.3%
7Drew BreesQB · NO1844.4%0.872614.6%
8Daniel JonesQB · NYG4045.0%0.756178.9%
9Teddy BridgewaterQB · CAR5444.4%0.7386910.9%
10Justin HerbertQB · LAC6536.9%0.6693910.9%
11Matthew StaffordQB · DET6540.0%0.6187812.2%
12Patrick MahomesQB · KC7136.6%0.5687712.0%
13Josh AllenQB · BUF6743.3%0.5688411.7%
14Philip RiversQB · IND5044.0%0.556839.2%
15Baker MayfieldQB · CLE5844.8%0.5579911.9%
16Cam NewtonQB · NE2853.6%0.504377.6%
17Lamar JacksonQB · BAL4537.8%0.4856411.9%
18Alex SmithQB · WAS2536.0%0.463229.9%
19Kyler MurrayQB · ARI6939.1%0.4598212.3%
20Ryan TannehillQB · TEN3930.8%0.445008.1%
21Tom BradyQB · TB9437.2%0.431,19315.4%
22Kirk CousinsQB · MIN5940.7%0.3876311.3%
23Russell WilsonQB · SEA6434.4%0.3687511.4%
24Ben RoethlisbergerQB · PIT6731.3%0.3167210.9%
25Gardner MinshewQB · JAX3441.2%0.3042410.3%
26Matt RyanQB · ATL7940.5%0.2895512.6%
27Tua TagovailoaQB · MIA3138.7%0.2331410.6%
28Carson WentzQB · PHI5431.5%0.2162712.2%
29Nick FolesQB · CHI4438.6%0.1950214.1%
30Drew LockQB · DEN6426.6%0.0463514.3%
31Joe BurrowQB · CIN4619.6%-0.0529311.4%
32Sam DarnoldQB · NYJ3826.3%-0.1327310.4%
33Jared GoffQB · LAR4926.5%-0.144168.9%
34Andy DaltonQB · DAL2927.6%-0.172868.7%
35Mitchell TrubiskyQB · CHI3023.3%-0.3319310.1%
36Dwayne HaskinsQB · WAS2313.0%-0.68999.5%

Sacks are excluded, because a sack has no air yards and is not an attempt. The deep rate divides by the passer's own attempts rather than by his dropbacks for the same reason.

New to this stat? What deep-ball expected points added per attempt means.

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