2021 season · Quarterbacks, 200+ attempts, 33 qualifiers

Quarterback Deep Ball Leaders

Quarterback Deep Ball — 2021 NFL leaders, updated Aug 13, 2026. Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) led the league in deep-ball expected points added per attempt at 1.09, ahead of 32 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2021 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2021 season.

A deep ball is defined by where it was aimed, not by where it ended up: 20 or more air yards past the line of scrimmage, caught, dropped or overthrown. That is why the split is worth its own page. A completion rate near 50 percent down here is excellent where the same number on a full passing line would be alarming, and the expected-points column is the one that settles arguments, because a deep incompletion costs an offense almost nothing while a deep completion is often the whole drive. Read the rate column last: how often a quarterback goes deep is mostly his coordinator's decision, and it belongs next to how well it went rather than inside it.

Quarterback Deep Ball, 2021 NFL season
#PlayerDeep AttDeep Cmp%EPA/AttDeep YdsDeep Rate
1Tua TagovailoaQB · MIA2948.3%1.095267.4%
2Joe BurrowQB · CIN6243.5%0.871,06111.9%
3Kyler MurrayQB · ARI7447.3%0.821,15215.3%
4Matt RyanQB · ATL4647.8%0.797628.2%
5Patrick MahomesQB · KC7638.2%0.771,00811.5%
6Matthew StaffordQB · LAR7342.5%0.741,26512.1%
7Justin HerbertQB · LAC7040.0%0.7199310.3%
8Carson WentzQB · IND5642.9%0.7082810.8%
9Josh AllenQB · BUF7444.6%0.671,07111.4%
10Aaron RodgersQB · GB7240.3%0.6598713.5%
11Russell WilsonQB · SEA7437.8%0.621,06518.4%
12Derek CarrQB · LV8140.7%0.531,12812.9%
13Kirk CousinsQB · MIN7841.0%0.521,03413.8%
14Dak PrescottQB · DAL7243.1%0.5294012.0%
15Tom BradyQB · TB9140.7%0.491,12112.6%
16Daniel JonesQB · NYG2729.6%0.423377.5%
17Jacoby BrissettQB · MIA2236.4%0.412359.7%
18Davis MillsQB · HOU4141.5%0.4055910.4%
19Baker MayfieldQB · CLE6038.3%0.3972914.3%
20Jalen HurtsQB · PHI6334.9%0.3273614.5%
21Justin FieldsQB · CHI4242.9%0.3151415.6%
22Jared GoffQB · DET4531.1%0.303839.0%
23Ryan TannehillQB · TEN4531.1%0.214828.5%
24Teddy BridgewaterQB · DEN5330.2%0.2048912.4%
25Mac JonesQB · NE6333.3%0.2066512.0%
26Lamar JacksonQB · BAL5431.5%0.1657814.0%
27Taylor HeinickeQB · WAS6432.8%0.1565412.9%
28Zach WilsonQB · NYJ4339.5%0.1450611.1%
29Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX6729.9%0.0957711.0%
30Ben RoethlisbergerQB · PIT6330.2%0.0965510.3%
31Jimmy GaroppoloQB · SF3729.7%-0.043928.4%
32Sam DarnoldQB · CAR4325.6%-0.1436810.6%
33Andy DaltonQB · CHI1717.6%-0.361247.1%

Sacks are excluded, because a sack has no air yards and is not an attempt. The deep rate divides by the passer's own attempts rather than by his dropbacks for the same reason.

New to this stat? What deep-ball expected points added per attempt means.

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