2021 season · Quarterbacks, 59+ deep attempts through Week 5, 33 qualifiers

Quarterback Deep Ball Leaders

Quarterback Deep Ball — 2021 NFL leaders, updated Oct 10, 2026. Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) led the league in deep-ball expected points added per attempt at 1.09, ahead of 32 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2021 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2021 season.

A deep ball is defined by where it was aimed, not by where it ended up: 20 or more air yards past the line of scrimmage, caught, dropped or overthrown. That is why the split is worth its own page. A completion rate near 50 percent down here is excellent where the same number on a full passing line would be alarming, and the expected-points column is the one that settles arguments, because a deep incompletion costs an offense almost nothing while a deep completion is often the whole drive. Read the rate column last: how often a quarterback goes deep is mostly his coordinator's decision, and it belongs next to how well it went rather than inside it.

Quarterback Deep Ball, 2021 NFL season
#PlayerDeep AttDeep Cmp%EPA/AttDeep YdsDeep RateRead
1Tua TagovailoaMIA2948.3%1.095267.4%Read
2Joe BurrowCIN6243.5%0.871,06111.9%Read
3Kyler MurrayARI7447.3%0.821,15215.3%Read
4Matt RyanATL4647.8%0.797628.2%
5Patrick MahomesKC7638.2%0.771,00811.5%Read
6Matthew StaffordLAR7342.5%0.741,26512.1%Read
7Justin HerbertLAC7040.0%0.7199310.3%Read
8Carson WentzIND5642.9%0.7082810.8%
9Josh AllenBUF7444.6%0.671,07111.4%Read
10Aaron RodgersGB7240.3%0.6598713.5%Read
11Russell WilsonSEA7437.8%0.621,06518.4%
12Derek CarrLV8140.7%0.531,12812.9%
13Kirk CousinsMIN7841.0%0.521,03413.8%Read
14Dak PrescottDAL7243.1%0.5294012.0%Read
15Tom BradyTB9140.7%0.491,12112.6%
16Daniel JonesNYG2729.6%0.423377.5%Read
17Jacoby BrissettMIA2236.4%0.412359.7%Read
18Davis MillsHOU4141.5%0.4055910.4%
19Baker MayfieldCLE6038.3%0.3972914.3%Read
20Jalen HurtsPHI6334.9%0.3273614.5%Read
21Justin FieldsCHI4242.9%0.3151415.6%
22Jared GoffDET4531.1%0.303839.0%Read
23Ryan TannehillTEN4531.1%0.214828.5%
24Teddy BridgewaterDEN5330.2%0.2048912.4%
25Mac JonesNE6333.3%0.2066512.0%
26Lamar JacksonBAL5431.5%0.1657814.0%Read
27Taylor HeinickeWAS6432.8%0.1565412.9%
28Zach WilsonNYJ4339.5%0.1450611.1%
29Trevor LawrenceJAX6729.9%0.0957711.0%Read
30Ben RoethlisbergerPIT6330.2%0.0965510.3%
31Jimmy GaroppoloSF3729.7%-0.043928.4%
32Sam DarnoldCAR4325.6%-0.1436810.6%Read
33Andy DaltonCHI1717.6%-0.361247.1%

Sacks are excluded, because a sack has no air yards and is not an attempt. The deep rate divides by the passer's own attempts rather than by his dropbacks for the same reason.

New to this stat? What deep-ball expected points added per attempt means.

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