2023 season · Quarterbacks, 200+ attempts, 35 qualifiers

Quarterback Deep Ball Leaders

Quarterback Deep Ball — 2023 NFL leaders, updated Aug 13, 2026. Brock Purdy (SF) led the league in deep-ball expected points added per attempt at 1.26, ahead of 34 other qualifying players. Based on verified 2023 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2023 season.

A deep ball is defined by where it was aimed, not by where it ended up: 20 or more air yards past the line of scrimmage, caught, dropped or overthrown. That is why the split is worth its own page. A completion rate near 50 percent down here is excellent where the same number on a full passing line would be alarming, and the expected-points column is the one that settles arguments, because a deep incompletion costs an offense almost nothing while a deep completion is often the whole drive. Read the rate column last: how often a quarterback goes deep is mostly his coordinator's decision, and it belongs next to how well it went rather than inside it.

Quarterback Deep Ball, 2023 NFL season
#PlayerDeep AttDeep Cmp%EPA/AttDeep YdsDeep Rate
1Brock PurdyQB · SF4755.3%1.2688710.6%
2Tua TagovailoaQB · MIA6450.0%0.931,14911.4%
3Jake BrowningQB · CIN2445.8%0.913689.8%
4C.J. StroudQB · HOU5949.2%0.901,04911.7%
5Dak PrescottQB · DAL6749.3%0.9099011.3%
6Matthew StaffordQB · LAR5947.5%0.8793911.3%
7Kirk CousinsQB · MIN2748.1%0.704408.7%
8Geno SmithQB · SEA5046.0%0.7076910.0%
9Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX7042.9%0.6797212.3%
10Justin FieldsQB · CHI5440.7%0.6766114.5%
11Derek CarrQB · NO6839.7%0.6493312.4%
12Jared GoffQB · DET5048.0%0.628148.2%
13Joe FlaccoQB · CLE3040.0%0.5646814.6%
14Desmond RidderQB · ATL4643.5%0.4564211.8%
15Jordan LoveQB · GB7736.4%0.4299713.3%
16Bailey ZappeQB · NE3033.3%0.4130814.2%
17Russell WilsonQB · DEN6532.3%0.4179114.4%
18Lamar JacksonQB · BAL5731.6%0.3966912.4%
19Jalen HurtsQB · PHI6832.4%0.3578812.6%
20Justin HerbertQB · LAC5932.2%0.3258912.9%
21Will LevisQB · TEN5736.8%0.3068822.3%
22Gardner MinshewQB · IND5437.0%0.2271511.0%
23Kenny PickettQB · PIT3135.5%0.183899.5%
24Josh AllenQB · BUF7931.6%0.1587913.6%
25Sam HowellQB · WAS7627.6%0.1462012.4%
26Baker MayfieldQB · TB7929.1%0.1376913.9%
27Joshua DobbsQB · ARI4630.4%0.0942811.0%
28Aidan O'ConnellQB · LV3531.4%0.0934510.2%
29Joe BurrowQB · CIN3129.0%0.073428.5%
30Zach WilsonQB · NYJ3732.4%0.0535510.0%
31Patrick MahomesQB · KC6127.9%0.0559710.2%
32Ryan TannehillQB · TEN3231.2%0.0137513.9%
33Bryce YoungQB · CAR5822.4%-0.4040211.0%
34Kyler MurrayQB · ARI2832.1%-0.6127610.3%
35Mac JonesQB · NE368.3%-0.888910.4%

Sacks are excluded, because a sack has no air yards and is not an attempt. The deep rate divides by the passer's own attempts rather than by his dropbacks for the same reason.

New to this stat? What deep-ball expected points added per attempt means.

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