Interception-Worthy Throw Rate
Interception-Worthy Throw Rate — 2022 NFL rankings, updated Oct 10, 2026. Baker Mayfield (LAR) threw the league's highest rate of interception-worthy passes, on 6.8% of his dropbacks across 31 qualifying players. Based on verified play-level charting from FTN Data via nflverse, regular season only. Through the 2022 season.
An interception-worthy throw is one a charter judged should have been intercepted, whether or not anybody caught it. It describes how recklessly a quarterback threw far better than the interception column does, because an interception also requires a defender to hang on, and defenders drop a great many of them. Over a full season the two numbers converge; over a handful of games the space between them is mostly luck, and this is the half of that space the passer actually owns.
| # | Player | IW% | IW | DB | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baker Mayfield | 6.8% | 25 | 370 | Read |
| 2 | Justin Fields | 6.7% | 25 | 373 | |
| 3 | Matt Ryan | 6.4% | 32 | 498 | |
| 4 | Tua Tagovailoa | 6.2% | 26 | 420 | Read |
| 5 | Davis Mills | 6.1% | 31 | 509 | |
| 6 | Dak Prescott | 5.8% | 24 | 414 | Read |
| 7 | Josh Allen | 5.7% | 34 | 599 | Read |
| 8 | Russell Wilson | 5.4% | 29 | 537 | |
| 9 | Carson Wentz | 5.3% | 16 | 302 | |
| 10 | Jimmy Garoppolo | 5.2% | 17 | 326 | |
| 11 | Derek Carr | 5.1% | 27 | 529 | |
| 12 | Lamar Jackson | 5.1% | 18 | 351 | Read |
| 13 | Ryan Tannehill | 5.0% | 18 | 357 | |
| 14 | Marcus Mariota | 4.9% | 16 | 324 | |
| 15 | Geno Smith | 4.7% | 29 | 617 | Read |
| 16 | Kirk Cousins | 4.5% | 31 | 686 | Read |
| 17 | Aaron Rodgers | 4.4% | 25 | 572 | Read |
| 18 | Jacoby Brissett | 4.4% | 17 | 390 | Read |
| 19 | Tom Brady | 4.4% | 33 | 752 | |
| 20 | Jared Goff | 4.3% | 26 | 609 | Read |
| 21 | Kyler Murray | 4.1% | 17 | 412 | Read |
| 22 | Andy Dalton | 4.0% | 16 | 403 | |
| 23 | Mac Jones | 4.0% | 19 | 474 | |
| 24 | Trevor Lawrence | 3.9% | 24 | 609 | Read |
| 25 | Kenny Pickett | 3.6% | 15 | 415 | |
| 26 | Patrick Mahomes | 3.4% | 23 | 674 | Read |
| 27 | Daniel Jones | 3.3% | 17 | 511 | Read |
| 28 | Matthew Stafford | 3.3% | 11 | 332 | Read |
| 29 | Joe Burrow | 3.1% | 20 | 646 | Read |
| 30 | Justin Herbert | 2.7% | 20 | 735 | Read |
| 31 | Jalen Hurts | 2.4% | 12 | 498 | Read |
Other seasons
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Both men's 2025 production side by side, and which of them rests on inputs that historically repeat.
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- Target Share
- Running Back Receiving Efficiency
- Completion Percentage Over Expected
- Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt
- Quarterback Pressure Rate
- Defensive Blitz Rate
- Quarterbacks vs Man and Zone Coverage
- Pass Rate Over Expected
- Clean-Core Rating
- Usage vs Production
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- Quarterback EPA per Dropback
- QB Composite Rating
- Air Yards Share
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- Weighted Opportunity Rating
- Snap Share
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- Receiving Yards per Pass Snap
- Availability
- Tight End Receiving Efficiency
- Tight End Average Depth of Target
- Stat Stickiness
- Play-Action Rate
- Pre-Snap Motion Rate
- Drop Rate
- Contested Catch Rate
- Quarterback-Fault Sack Rate
- Quarterback Intended Air Yards
- Team Air Yards and Passing Volume
- Receiver Separation and Cushion
- Wide Receiver Receiving Efficiency
- Team Success Rate and Explosive Play Rate
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- Quarterback Deep Ball
- Team Pace
- Screen Pass Rate
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- Out-of-Pocket Rate
- Time to Throw
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