Pass Rate Over Expected Leaders
Pass Rate Over Expected — 2018 NFL leaders, updated Sep 29, 2026. Pittsburgh Steelers led the league in pass rate over expected at +9.1, ahead of 31 other qualifying teams. Based on verified 2018 play-by-play data (nflverse); Half-PPR scoring. Through the 2018 season.
Every game state has an expected pass rate: down, distance, score and clock together say how often a league-average offense would throw. Pass rate over expected measures how far a team drifts from that. It is the stickiest team-level tendency measured — coordinators keep their identity year over year — which makes it one of the few 2026 numbers that says something real about 2027 volume. The neutral-script column beside it is the plain answer to the plain question: with the game close and the clock not yet an argument, how often did this offense throw? A team can lead the league in the first column and sit mid-pack in the second, and that combination describes an offense that throws in the spots nobody expects rather than one that throws constantly.
| # | Team | PROE | Neutral Pass% | Pass% | Neutral Plays | Listen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Steelers | +9.1 | 67.5% | 68.4% | 508 | |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs | +8.9 | 62.9% | 61.8% | 410 | |
| 3 | Green Bay Packers | +7.0 | 62.6% | 67.9% | 436 | |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +4.7 | 58.8% | 63.8% | 415 | |
| 5 | Atlanta Falcons | +3.9 | 62.6% | 65.9% | 500 | |
| 6 | Indianapolis Colts | +3.6 | 60.9% | 63.2% | 465 | |
| 7 | Philadelphia Eagles | +2.9 | 61.6% | 62.0% | 528 | |
| 8 | Los Angeles Rams | +2.4 | 57.5% | 57.7% | 489 | |
| 9 | Minnesota Vikings | +2.2 | 60.3% | 65.1% | 441 | |
| 10 | Carolina Panthers | +1.5 | 52.1% | 59.6% | 428 | |
| 11 | Chicago Bears | +1.4 | 53.8% | 54.9% | 481 | |
| 12 | Cleveland Browns | +0.7 | 55.6% | 60.6% | 484 | |
| 13 | Los Angeles Chargers | +0.4 | 58.7% | 58.9% | 397 | |
| 14 | Cincinnati Bengals | +0.3 | 58.3% | 62.2% | 379 | |
| 15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | +0.2 | 51.3% | 59.0% | 456 | |
| 16 | Houston Texans | +0.1 | 51.0% | 54.9% | 478 | |
| 17 | Las Vegas Raiders | -0.2 | 56.5% | 61.6% | 471 | |
| 18 | New England Patriots | -0.3 | 60.3% | 56.5% | 466 | |
| 19 | New Orleans Saints | -0.9 | 57.6% | 54.6% | 472 | |
| 20 | New York Giants | -0.9 | 61.1% | 64.4% | 491 | |
| 21 | Dallas Cowboys | -1.0 | 55.9% | 57.8% | 501 | |
| 22 | Denver Broncos | -1.8 | 58.2% | 61.8% | 479 | |
| 23 | Detroit Lions | -1.8 | 54.9% | 60.9% | 470 | |
| 24 | Washington Commanders | -1.8 | 52.0% | 57.6% | 435 | |
| 25 | Miami Dolphins | -2.4 | 54.6% | 58.4% | 441 | |
| 26 | San Francisco 49ers | -2.5 | 55.0% | 58.4% | 440 | |
| 27 | Buffalo Bills | -3.5 | 48.8% | 54.1% | 404 | |
| 28 | New York Jets | -4.2 | 51.1% | 58.5% | 425 | |
| 29 | Arizona Cardinals | -4.7 | 54.4% | 61.2% | 388 | |
| 30 | Baltimore Ravens | -6.0 | 47.4% | 52.6% | 570 | |
| 31 | Tennessee Titans | -7.3 | 50.9% | 52.2% | 432 | |
| 32 | Seattle Seahawks | -11.3 | 43.8% | 47.6% | 557 |
Other seasons
More leaderboards
- Rushing Yards Over Expected
- Target Share
- Running Back Receiving Efficiency
- Completion Percentage Over Expected
- Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt
- Quarterback Pressure Rate
- Defensive Blitz Rate
- Quarterbacks vs Man and Zone Coverage
- Clean-Core Rating
- Usage vs Production
- Team Expected Points Added
- Quarterback EPA per Dropback
- QB Composite Rating
- Air Yards Share
- Stacked Box Rate
- Regression Flags
- Weighted Opportunity Rating
- Snap Share
- Pass-Snap Share
- Receiving Yards per Pass Snap
- Availability
- Tight End Receiving Efficiency
- Tight End Average Depth of Target
- Stat Stickiness
- Play-Action Rate
- Pre-Snap Motion Rate
- Drop Rate
- Contested Catch Rate
- Interception-Worthy Throw Rate
- Quarterback-Fault Sack Rate
- Quarterback Intended Air Yards
- Team Air Yards and Passing Volume
- Receiver Separation and Cushion
- Wide Receiver Receiving Efficiency
- Team Success Rate and Explosive Play Rate
- Goal-Line Usage
- Quarterback Deep Ball
- Team Pace
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